PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

vivi4024

0x38a824b952cc01742de735835f55d5204b02865a

Realised P&L
$-2.7k
Volume
$346.2k
Markets traded
717
Open portfolio
$4.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded717
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration62.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.7450.747$3.7k+$9.10
Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.3890.325$179.08$35.45
Will Michael J. Fox – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series? · Yes0.5980.593$41.51$0.35
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? · No0.6300.630$39.69$0.00
Will “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? · No0.5900.540$38.34$3.55
Will Green Bay Packers win the 2026 NFC North? · No0.7300.705$38.07$1.35
Will “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series? · No0.6300.595$37.48$2.20
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East? · No0.7200.695$31.73$1.15
Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? · No0.7000.485$27.64$12.25
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? · Yes0.4900.265$27.03$22.95
Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg? · Yes0.4700.336$26.14$10.48
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1700.105$24.68$15.28
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? · Yes0.1490.115$23.56$6.99
Will Discord’s market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1900.185$21.27$0.57
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? · Yes0.1110.059$21.24$18.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 00:54Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?SELL0.09$6.10
08-02 08:50Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?SELL0.57$43.89
08-02 06:23Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?SELL0.17$39.95
08-01 21:13No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?SELL0.1$0.33
08-01 21:13No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?SELL0.1$0.18
08-01 21:13No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?SELL0.1$0.46
08-01 21:13No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?SELL0.1$0.15
08-01 21:13No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?SELL0.1$2.84
08-01 21:13No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?SELL0.1$0.39
08-01 21:13No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?SELL0.1$0.12
08-01 21:13No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?SELL0.1$0.14
08-01 21:13No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?SELL0.1$0.40
08-01 12:00Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?SELL0.15$5.12
08-01 05:14Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?BUY0.396$1.98
07-31 21:55Will Stephen Root – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?SELL0.68$5.48