PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

vivi4024

0x38a824b952cc01742de735835f55d5204b02865a

Realised P&L
$-3.0k
Volume
$406.9k
Markets traded
896
Open portfolio
$373.12

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded896
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration99.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026? · No0.9720.963$48.13$0.47
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? · Yes0.4460.375$45.75$8.63
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? · No0.9200.770$39.27$7.65
Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft? · Yes0.6500.455$31.85$13.65
Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? · Yes0.4800.365$30.30$9.54
Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft? · Yes0.4400.385$19.64$2.81
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%? · Yes0.2320.105$18.15$21.76
Will voters pick the Winchester Model 1873 "Gun that Won the West" (.44-40) as the state gun of Idaho? · Yes0.4600.415$17.84$1.94
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026? · No0.0300.018$10.80$6.72
Will jL appear as an analyst at an S-Tier CS tournament in 2026? · Yes0.0900.095$9.67+$0.51
Will Khathutshelo Rasilingwane be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni? · Yes0.3590.169$9.27$10.49
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? · Yes0.1490.045$9.22$21.33
Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.2200.175$7.88$2.02
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? · Yes0.0320.023$7.84$3.12
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1520.028$7.62$33.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 16:25Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?SELL0.03$1.59
09-15 08:19Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?SELL0.049$2.45
09-09 11:43Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?SELL0.961$32.44
09-06 14:26Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.071$6.19
09-06 00:45Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?SELL0.92$39.56
09-04 16:54Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day?SELL0.25$4.39
09-04 02:59Will Gustavo Gayer win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?SELL0.36$4.95
09-03 10:04Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $176 in September?SELL0.03$0.52
09-03 08:45SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?SELL0.51$1.01
09-02 21:30Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?SELL0.66$29.70
09-02 20:22Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?SELL0.24$12.00
09-02 06:03Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?SELL0.27$2.97
09-01 16:10Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?SELL0.27$8.10
08-29 14:35Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?SELL0.37$2.59
08-29 14:35Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?SELL0.37$18.13