Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.20. up 0.03 over the period, from 0.17. Range 0.17 to 0.20. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.21	151	151
0.22	97	248
0.23	80	328
0.24	238	566
0.32	600	1,166
0.33	800	1,966
0.35	888	2,854
0.42	179	3,033
0.97	13	3,046
0.98	64	3,110
0.99	100	3,210

Spread0.01Mid0.21

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.20	151	151
0.19	20	171
0.18	63	234
0.17	5	239
0.14	131	370
0.11	50	420
0.10	2,000	2,420
0.06	270	2,690
0.05	1,103	3,793
0.04	1,006	4,799
0.03	1,000	5,799
0.02	2,754	8,554

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.80	151	151
0.81	20	171
0.82	63	234
0.83	5	239
0.86	131	370
0.89	50	420
0.90	2,000	2,420
0.94	270	2,690
0.95	1,103	3,793
0.96	1,006	4,799
0.97	1,000	5,799
0.98	2,754	8,554

Spread0.01Mid0.80

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.79	151	151
0.78	97	248
0.77	80	328
0.76	238	566
0.68	600	1,166
0.67	800	1,966
0.65	888	2,854
0.58	179	3,033
0.03	13	3,046
0.02	64	3,110
0.01	100	3,210

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
janu	Yes	868.71
tweaklan	Yes	473.24
xvc347y	Yes	131.58
mjessup	Yes	103.33
0x49A1Fc66b4dEbD488cab43D19788c6cda3008C8A-1760120673112	Yes	75.4
Lkjasd	Yes	65.22
0x5c19Ca4b1Fa75884B763E0c5522d5a59160823c3-1777614991703	Yes	62.12
ImSweating	Yes	57.64
oinrev	Yes	54.09
LornaPredicts	Yes	53.85
justrun86	Yes	50
Duncs723	Yes	47.62
17226804	Yes	40.23
D.ILCHEN	Yes	25
AJSV	Yes	23.9
0x4b49…97a2	Yes	17.28
0x196c…ab66	Yes	13.04
0x5A4bEe0A465efD4cdbA65963760b3a7438cBF3b0-1767568244552	Yes	10.53
0xda1f…3879	Yes	9.76
Haradwaith	Yes	9.29

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
18:28:52	BUY	Yes	0.2099999983	48	$10.00
11:30:46	SELL	No	0.79	6	$4.70
11:30:43	BUY	Yes	0.2099999983	6	$1.25
11:30:42	SELL	No	0.79	6	$4.68
01:39:00	BUY	Yes	0.2	5	$1.00
22:20:28	SELL	Yes	0.17	8	$1.36
00:26:15	SELL	Yes	0.17	1	$0.20
18:37:07	BUY	No	0.8199999963	38	$31.31
13:00:34	BUY	No	0.8299999967	6	$5.00
10:54:16	SELL	No	0.8	6	$4.76
19:43:15	BUY	Yes	0.2	25	$5.00
18:08:25	BUY	No	0.8499999942	9	$7.35
02:55:21	SELL	No	0.82	1	$1.20
23:58:37	BUY	No	0.85	20	$17.00
17:27:10	SELL	No	0.81	1	$1.04
17:03:18	SELL	No	0.79	1	$0.40
11:30:04	SELL	Yes	0.18	12	$2.15
11:29:58	BUY	No	0.8099999958	12	$9.70
11:29:58	BUY	No	0.8	12	$9.58
11:29:58	SELL	Yes	0.2	11	$2.10
11:15:39	SELL	Yes	0.21	10	$2.15
11:15:36	SELL	Yes	0.21	10	$2.15
11:15:24	BUY	No	0.7899999815	10	$8.10
11:14:49	BUY	No	0.7899999815	10	$8.10
11:14:48	BUY	No	0.7899999815	10	$8.10