abraham78
0xd4d166d85d65655ce0cb563a6d1edc804bbc1733
- Realised P&L
- $-5.5k
- Volume
- $955.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,566
- Open portfolio
- $46.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,566
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration4.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$383.01at 0.473Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 8?
- +$132.83at 0.015Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?
- +$105.80at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 3?
- +$98.54at 0.229Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 8?
- +$94.67at 0.237Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 13:55 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999911 | $3.00 |
| 10-17 15:05 | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? | BUY | 0.2318426872 | $80.00 |
| 10-17 15:02 | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? | BUY | 0.160347104 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 20:55 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.4494050317 | $1.8k |
| 08-03 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 07-29 20:48 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.49 | $10.43 |
| 07-29 12:19 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 07-20 02:51 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 20? | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 07-19 15:05 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 19? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 07-17 19:27 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 19? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.38 |
| 07-17 19:27 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on July 19? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.32 |
| 07-17 19:27 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on July 19? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.20 |
| 07-17 15:14 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 18? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.20 |
| 07-17 15:14 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 18? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.56 |
| 07-17 15:14 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 18? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.08 |