PolyBot

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Traders

abraham78

0xd4d166d85d65655ce0cb563a6d1edc804bbc1733

Realised P&L
$-5.5k
Volume
$955.7k
Markets traded
1,566
Open portfolio
$46.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,566
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration4.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 13:55Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?BUY0.6699999911$3.00
10-17 15:05Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?BUY0.2318426872$80.00
10-17 15:02Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?BUY0.160347104$5.00
10-15 20:55Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?BUY0.4494050317$1.8k
08-03 05:10Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 3?BUY0.66$3.30
07-29 20:48Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 29?BUY0.49$10.43
07-29 12:19Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 29?BUY0.49$4.90
07-20 02:51Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 20?BUY0.52$2.60
07-19 15:05Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 19?BUY0.82$4.10
07-17 19:27Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 19?BUY0.23$1.38
07-17 19:27Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on July 19?BUY0.22$1.32
07-17 19:27Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on July 19?BUY0.2$1.20
07-17 15:14Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 18?BUY0.15$1.20
07-17 15:14Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 18?BUY0.32$2.56
07-17 15:14Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 18?SELL0.18$1.08