PET.a.DONKEY
0x431c1bdb884f42803d7dafe9c345f4b96cd236b3
- Realised P&L
- $-46.25
- Volume
- $8.3k
- Markets traded
- 275
- Open portfolio
- $5.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded275
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$135.00at 0.100Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
- +$55.60at 0.138Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?
- +$52.77at 0.066Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
- +$45.00at 0.100Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches
- +$23.93at 0.043Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 20:41 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $65.96 |
| 10-05 17:35 | Dota 2: LEGION vs Blasterbl (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 10-05 17:21 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.048 | $6.00 |
| 10-05 16:32 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.4699999988 | $50.00 |
| 10-05 16:31 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $48.89 |
| 10-05 16:31 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999964 | $50.00 |
| 10-03 20:41 | Dota 2: Daxak Team vs Cake Team (BO5) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffs | SELL | 0.112232 | $5.61 |
| 10-03 00:28 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 18:50 | Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C | SELL | 0.11 | $5.50 |
| 10-02 12:20 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.0339999997 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 15:02 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $25.96 |
| 09-30 01:12 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999977 | $25.00 |
| 09-30 01:07 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.3485930766 | $50.00 |
| 09-30 01:01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 09-29 13:18 | Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $72.15 |