PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

PET.a.DONKEY

0x431c1bdb884f42803d7dafe9c345f4b96cd236b3

Realised P&L
$-46.25
Volume
$8.3k
Markets traded
275
Open portfolio
$5.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded275
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.0900.055$3.06−$1.94
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? · Yes0.2000.115$2.88−$2.13
Valorant: M80 vs SaD Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs · SaD Esports0.2000.000$0.00−$2.00
Will "People" be said 100+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 20? · No0.1500.000$0.00−$1.00
LoL: T1 vs GAM Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C · GAM Esports0.1200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$3.00
1win to win 2-0? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$1.00
Newport: Sachia Vickery vs Reese Brantmeier · Sachia Vickery0.1060.000$0.00−$1.00
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs · Bilibili Gaming0.1800.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET · Down0.3120.000$0.00−$10.00
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group D · LGD Gaming0.2200.000$0.00−$2.00
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova · Marta Kostyuk0.2800.000$0.00−$2.00
BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion: Draw (1-1)? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $85 in October? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$25.00
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omega · Bilibili Gaming0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 20:41Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?SELL0.62$65.96
10-05 17:35Dota 2: LEGION vs Blasterbl (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsBUY0.03$3.00
10-05 17:21Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?SELL0.048$6.00
10-05 16:32Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.4699999988$50.00
10-05 16:31Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?SELL0.44$48.89
10-05 16:31Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.4499999964$50.00
10-03 20:41Dota 2: Daxak Team vs Cake Team (BO5) - BetBoom Streamers Battle PlayoffsSELL0.112232$5.61
10-03 00:28Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.2$5.00
10-02 18:50Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group CSELL0.11$5.50
10-02 12:20Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.0339999997$2.00
10-01 15:02Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?SELL0.27$25.96
09-30 01:12Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.2599999977$25.00
09-30 01:07Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.3485930766$50.00
09-30 01:01Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?SELL0.002$0.04
09-29 13:18Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?SELL0.64$72.15