PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xAlsatian

0x7260282a68e0f572dfa4f9a8fdd7bce684977ce2

Realised P&L
$1.23
Volume
$429.15
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$6.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1500.175$2.33+$0.33
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? · No0.2500.270$2.16+$0.16
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? · Yes0.1500.115$1.53−$0.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 04:43Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?BUY0.55$1.85
10-02 04:26Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.15$2.00
10-02 04:22Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.75$1.94
10-02 03:30Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?BUY0.25$2.00
10-02 03:15Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?BUY0.1499999925$2.00
07-19 22:05Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.999$16.10
07-19 19:50Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3949998914$2.00
07-14 20:17Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY0.2825000406$2.00
07-12 03:25Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.153$3.87
07-11 22:41Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?SELL0.5075$3.44
07-11 21:40Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.2950000443$2.00
07-11 04:21Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.43$2.26
07-11 04:08Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.373$2.20
07-07 17:28Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?BUY0.3599999208$2.00
07-04 04:05Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1239999477$2.00