xAlsatian
0x7260282a68e0f572dfa4f9a8fdd7bce684977ce2
- Realised P&L
- $1.23
- Volume
- $429.15
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $6.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.175 | $2.33 | +$0.33 |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.250 | 0.270 | $2.16 | +$0.16 |
| Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.115 | $1.53 | −$0.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.06at 0.127Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$9.11at 0.180Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?
- +$1.97at 0.266Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
- +$1.65at 0.081Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.48at 0.560Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 04:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.85 |
| 10-02 04:26 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.15 | $2.00 |
| 10-02 04:22 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.94 |
| 10-02 03:30 | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 10-02 03:15 | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 22:05 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $16.10 |
| 07-19 19:50 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3949998914 | $2.00 |
| 07-14 20:17 | Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2825000406 | $2.00 |
| 07-12 03:25 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.153 | $3.87 |
| 07-11 22:41 | Will Norway vs. England end in a draw? | SELL | 0.5075 | $3.44 |
| 07-11 21:40 | Will Norway vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2950000443 | $2.00 |
| 07-11 04:21 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.43 | $2.26 |
| 07-11 04:08 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.373 | $2.20 |
| 07-07 17:28 | Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3599999208 | $2.00 |
| 07-04 04:05 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1239999477 | $2.00 |