PolyBot

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Traders

LuckyStar4000

0x49a1fc66b4debd488cab43d19788c6cda3008c8a

Realised P&L
$-78.52
Volume
$6.4k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$69.45

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration86.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.5400.575$31.94+$1.94
Will Finland win the 2027 IIHF World Championship? · Yes0.2000.300$15.00+$5.00
Will England win the UEFA EURO 2028? · Yes0.1600.155$9.69−$0.31
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? · Yes0.1990.115$8.67−$6.33
AI bubble burst in 2026? · Yes0.1170.097$4.15−$0.85
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET · Down0.7970.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship? · Yes0.1710.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET · Down0.0720.000$0.00−$6.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 PGA Championship? · Yes0.0720.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0890.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$20.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET · Up0.0850.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET · Down0.3300.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 17:32Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.5399999957$30.00
10-20 18:18Will Finland win the 2027 IIHF World Championship?BUY0.2$10.00
10-20 18:17Will England win the UEFA EURO 2028?BUY0.16$10.00
10-20 18:00AI bubble burst in 2026?BUY0.1169999993$5.00
10-09 17:55Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.16$5.00
10-09 17:55Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$5.00
09-17 18:28Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?BUY0.2099999983$10.00
08-30 17:13Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?BUY0.1799999755$5.00
05-22 04:07Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETSELL0.74$2.42
05-22 04:05Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETBUY0.6099999786$2.00
05-22 04:00Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETBUY0.3299998927$2.00
05-22 03:43Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETBUY0.3599998704$1.00
05-22 03:43Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETSELL0.68$3.58
05-22 03:41Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETBUY0.3799999468$2.00
05-21 18:30Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0889999923$10.00