LuckyStar4000
0x49a1fc66b4debd488cab43d19788c6cda3008c8a
- Realised P&L
- $-78.52
- Volume
- $6.4k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $69.45
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration86.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.68at 0.602Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?
- +$1.41at 0.396Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
- +$0.33at 0.627Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
- +$0.18at 0.850Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
- +$-1.00at 0.001Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:32 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999957 | $30.00 |
| 10-20 18:18 | Will Finland win the 2027 IIHF World Championship? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 10-20 18:17 | Will England win the UEFA EURO 2028? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 10-20 18:00 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.1169999993 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 17:55 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 17:55 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 18:28 | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $10.00 |
| 08-30 17:13 | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 05-22 04:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | SELL | 0.74 | $2.42 |
| 05-22 04:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | BUY | 0.6099999786 | $2.00 |
| 05-22 04:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | BUY | 0.3299998927 | $2.00 |
| 05-22 03:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 05-22 03:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | SELL | 0.68 | $3.58 |
| 05-22 03:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999468 | $2.00 |
| 05-21 18:30 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0889999923 | $10.00 |