teru
0xb0459523812171f0ecaaa8e6b7b0e914566b9c46
- Realised P&L
- $-226.37
- Volume
- $68.6k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $107.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.221 | $55.46 | −$22.51 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.003 | $47.20 | −$202.78 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.001 | $2.50 | −$37.50 |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.002 | $2.25 | −$42.75 |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.07 |
| Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30? · Yes | 0.133 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31? · Yes | 0.108 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$111.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.600Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
- +$204.47at 0.646Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?
- +$131.09at 0.763Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?
- +$93.47at 0.500Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
- +$89.86at 0.705Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-23 08:47 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.008005498 | $26.44 |
| 12-23 08:46 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.008 | $14.81 |
| 12-23 08:45 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.3099999973 | $77.97 |
| 12-22 12:05 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.038 | $55.88 |
| 12-22 12:03 | Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31? | BUY | 0.1078989047 | $111.00 |
| 12-14 23:48 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.019 | $8.14 |
| 12-14 14:51 | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025? | SELL | 0.008 | $8.17 |
| 12-13 17:37 | Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? | BUY | 0.33 | $21.44 |
| 11-09 21:25 | Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? | BUY | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 10-27 00:14 | Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election? | SELL | 0.1756604088 | $263.49 |
| 10-27 00:05 | Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? | SELL | 0.18 | $45.00 |
| 10-01 19:07 | Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? | BUY | 0.4 | $100.00 |
| 10-01 19:05 | Elon no longer world's richest before 2026? | SELL | 0.7493814989 | $569.34 |
| 10-01 16:11 | Elon no longer world's richest before 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999983 | $400.00 |
| 10-01 16:10 | Elon no longer world's richest before 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $98.80 |