PolyBot

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Traders

xvc347y

0x7d8f59234a56f661a59d3837791b3c128f6d4aee

Realised P&L
$-1.8k
Volume
$69.7k
Markets traded
299
Open portfolio
$805.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded299
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? · Yes0.2030.165$421.93−$98.07
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · Yes0.1340.080$118.62−$79.41
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4700.705$75.00+$25.00
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.4760.435$42.19−$3.97
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? · Yes0.0610.037$30.10−$19.90
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.1340.071$26.76−$23.24
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? · Yes0.6070.165$20.37−$54.63
Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31? · Yes0.3040.165$17.49−$14.75
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be at least 45%? · Yes0.0620.019$15.72−$34.28
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? · Yes0.1900.115$15.13−$9.87
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · Yes0.1000.041$8.10−$11.90
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? · Yes0.0800.054$6.81−$3.19
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1300.038$2.96−$7.04
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? · Yes0.8100.855$2.11+$0.11
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0410.001$1.22−$99.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-20 21:43Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.0369850299$25.82
07-20 21:42No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027SELL0.1356962511$28.27
07-19 04:31Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.16$9.46
07-18 22:27France vs. England: O/U 8.5BUY0.2989999512$2.95
07-18 05:49Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.4699999976$25.26
07-18 05:48OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?SELL0.8$25.97
07-17 21:45Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.1489999822$6.15
07-17 21:44Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.149999994$20.00
07-17 21:44Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.52$18.57
07-17 21:43Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.201$9.48
07-17 03:28Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.0649999805$2.92
07-15 21:01Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.0829364375$38.48
07-15 21:01England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5BUY0.0648270391$25.00
07-15 20:59Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4115297917$700.00
07-15 20:55Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?SELL0.895$202.37