justrun86
0xe196f3eb5f678958d5ed8df5bf666d7dab5e5d47
- Realised P&L
- $-39.20
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $68.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.00at 0.460Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?
- +$4.83at 0.677Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
- +$2.90at 0.777Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$1.96at 0.837Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$1.34at 0.882Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 20:40 | Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3929104026 | $20.00 |
| 07-26 16:46 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July? | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |
| 07-26 16:43 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 09:28 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0358659161 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 09:15 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4074999808 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 09:14 | Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026? | BUY | 0.2763903043 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 09:12 | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $7.50 |
| 07-19 09:11 | Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 09:11 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.0329999967 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 20:30 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 20:29 | Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 20:29 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 20:28 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0459630415 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 20:27 | Will Gavin Newsom be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | BUY | 0.0515576026 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 20:26 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |