PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

owlandfrieds

0x8c6a2c3fec322be784002cd3c91e8e90472defbb

Realised P&L
$-49.69
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$17.20

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration76.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? · Yes0.7200.999$13.17+$3.67
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? · Yes0.1500.115$3.83−$1.17
Tesla Roadster delivered by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1330.025$0.19−$0.81
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$1.00
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting? · No0.1600.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00−$5.00
ECB rate hike in 2026? · No0.0800.000$0.00−$2.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? · No0.0210.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.1160.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$10.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$10.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 21:21Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?BUY0.7199999818$9.50
10-04 15:55Tesla Roadster delivered by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1329999999$1.00
10-04 15:54Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?BUY0.149999997$5.00
05-17 20:05Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.1159999802$5.00
05-17 20:04Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.0529999903$5.00
05-17 20:02Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?BUY0.0439999918$5.00
05-17 20:00ECB rate hike in 2026?BUY0.08$2.00
05-17 19:58US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?BUY0.008$1.00
05-17 19:57No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?BUY0.16$5.00
05-17 19:56Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.0209999958$5.00
05-17 19:55Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.0089999991$10.00
05-17 19:54Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.05$10.00