PolyBot

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Will SPD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 0-2%?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-20
Rewards
60 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.34. up 0.09 over the period, from 0.25. Range 0.09 to 0.43. 153 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.39400400
0.45200600
0.5610610
0.575615
0.581,1411,756
0.60701,826
0.621001,926
0.641152,041
0.65932,134
0.66732,207
0.69892,296
0.701252,421

Spread0.11Mid0.34

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.28302302
0.2216318
0.2184402
0.205,5555,957
0.15165,973
0.1465,979
0.122006,179
0.0396,188
0.026586,846

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.72302302
0.7816318
0.7984402
0.805,5555,957
0.85165,973
0.8665,979
0.882006,179
0.9796,188
0.986586,846

Spread0.11Mid0.67

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.61400400
0.55200600
0.4410610
0.435615
0.421,1411,756
0.40701,826
0.381001,926
0.361152,041
0.35932,134
0.34732,207
0.31892,296
0.301252,421

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
YoungAlphaGoatYes2,662.88
annacallsitYes300
DerDonYes291.44
0xf0b2…b501Yes155.56
TheOne777Yes96.95
arrpadexYes60
tradetosurvive1Yes54.53
DutchlandYes47
BKno95Yes40
0x1894B184374aB530Eacd0A55477f2253BEafA936-1780076507354Yes17
lava-lavaNo2,222
SnoorrasonNo557.25
0xa5ef…2966No168.91
2B9SNo140
0xzipperNo131
GuyFromTinderNo122.85
HaradwaithNo121.88
AJSVNo100
SPLPBNo62.28
whaleP1No39.72

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:39:22SELLNo0.6180$48.80
22:38:48BUYNo0.6041906757477$288.35
21:42:31BUYYes0.4420$8.80
21:42:31SELLNo0.5720$11.40
21:30:49BUYNo0.63$1.65
21:07:54SELLNo0.620$12.00
19:53:07SELLNo0.4211$4.60
19:52:10BUYNo0.7440$29.39
19:52:06BUYYes0.24881842222,663$662.57
19:51:52SELLNo0.860$48.00
19:51:51SELLNo0.860$48.00
19:51:49BUYYes0.19300$57.00
19:51:49BUYYes0.260$12.00
03:45:21SELLNo0.8260$49.20
03:45:16BUYYes0.1799999995156$28.00
12:40:00SELLNo0.8260$49.20
11:39:52SELLNo0.825076333133$109.71
10:56:43BUYYes0.1548202031291$45.12
02:19:46BUYNo0.859999996411$9.43
22:45:28BUYNo0.86999999131$1.00
04:09:09BUYYes0.1517$2.55
15:33:52BUYYes0.0940$3.60
13:48:39BUYNo0.9212$11.04
13:48:37BUYNo0.925$4.60
13:48:37BUYNo0.9213$11.68