YoungAlphaGoat

0x9e88f359b9803e41420fbb13385c5ae1765c301c

Realised P&L: $91.7k
Volume: $6.07M
Markets traded: 2,361
Open portfolio: $22.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%: Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,361: High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position: Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions: Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%: Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.0% in top position: Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
Market	Avg	Now	Value	Unrealised
Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the December meeting? · Yes	0.619	0.745	$1.2k	+$204.30
Will the median home value in Miami be between $830,000 and $851,000 on December 31? · Yes	0.374	0.566	$1.2k	+$398.82
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by December 31? · No	0.306	0.890	$1.1k	+$718.66
Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be above 4%? · Yes	0.288	0.465	$1.0k	+$391.88
Will the median home value in the US be between $403,000 and $407,000 on December 31? · Yes	0.394	0.600	$854.32	+$293.59
Walmart (WMT) Q3 US eCommerce sales growth 21% to 25%? · Yes	0.605	0.795	$799.65	+$191.52
Will Target Q3 comparable sales growth be between 3% and 5%? · Yes	0.494	0.570	$755.41	+$99.98
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on November 30, 2026? · Yes	0.325	0.395	$689.33	+$122.62
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be less than $503,000 on December 31? · Yes	0.628	0.730	$681.82	+$95.01
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the March meeting? · Yes	0.428	0.545	$678.54	+$145.05
Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 86% to 88%? · Yes	0.374	0.530	$635.08	+$187.37
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%? · Yes	0.246	0.425	$573.06	+$241.49
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in October? · Yes	0.369	0.455	$545.28	+$102.63
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · No	0.200	0.265	$530.00	+$130.00
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes	0.520	0.525	$524.83	+$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

+$15.8kat 0.260Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
+$3.2kat 0.160Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?
+$2.4kat 0.565Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
+$2.4kat 0.538Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?
+$2.3kat 0.117Will SPD win at least 9% of all valid second votes?

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
Time	Market	Side	Price	Value
11-01 17:38	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in October?	SELL	0.4749991588	$197.63
11-01 17:37	Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $503,000 and $507,000 on December 31?	BUY	0.1392588614	$129.65
11-01 16:59	Will the median home value in NYC be less than $445,000 on December 31?	SELL	0.483417526	$258.78
11-01 16:51	Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the December meeting?	BUY	0.6132578058	$900.74
11-01 16:46	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate at the November meeting?	BUY	0.33	$1.65
11-01 16:43	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on November 30, 2026?	SELL	0.4832493133	$149.54
11-01 16:38	Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the December meeting?	BUY	0.44	$44.00
11-01 16:10	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in October?	BUY	0.3693651865	$596.34
11-01 15:57	Will the median home value in the US be between $403,000 and $407,000 on December 31?	BUY	0.3938120041	$718.26
11-01 15:50	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $313,000 and $318,000 on December 31?	SELL	0.3740191403	$235.27
11-01 15:46	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November?	SELL	0.45	$24.57
11-01 15:45	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November?	SELL	0.5109762616	$487.55
11-01 15:14	Will the median home value in Miami be between $830,000 and $851,000 on December 31?	SELL	0.5405097639	$132.31
11-01 15:11	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000?	SELL	0.2617424681	$58.82
11-01 15:10	Will the median home value in the US be between $403,000 and $407,000 on December 31?	SELL	0.4499354839	$310.34