0xf0b29b5cf68c19ffaaa0c961326d5409b0a7b501
0xf0b29b5cf68c19ffaaa0c961326d5409b0a7b501
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $103.9k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $3.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.1kat 0.514Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
- +$2.8kat 0.645Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
- +$2.4kat 0.236Will Spain win the World Cup?
- +$1.6kat 0.277Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?
- +$1.3kat 0.256Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 12:09 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4399999999 | $395.00 |
| 10-28 12:04 | Will Linke be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government? | SELL | 0.971090491 | $350.49 |
| 10-26 20:49 | Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government? | BUY | 0.5996236755 | $175.00 |
| 10-26 20:49 | Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government? | BUY | 0.6828965544 | $500.00 |
| 10-26 20:49 | Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government? | BUY | 0.8484869576 | $500.00 |
| 10-26 13:35 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.4098110043 | $2.7k |
| 10-26 13:35 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.5668462338 | $1.5k |
| 10-26 13:11 | Will Linke be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government? | BUY | 0.9961507382 | $50.00 |
| 10-26 13:10 | Will Linke be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government? | BUY | 0.9911575943 | $100.00 |
| 10-26 13:10 | Will Linke be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government? | BUY | 0.9568896249 | $100.00 |
| 10-26 13:09 | Will Linke be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government? | BUY | 0.9493969431 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 03:45 | Will SPD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 0-2%? | BUY | 0.1799999995 | $28.00 |
| 09-12 16:13 | Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? | BUY | 0.7188902681 | $100.00 |
| 09-12 16:12 | Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.4030378475 | $1.0k |
| 09-12 16:11 | Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%? | BUY | 0.8889679083 | $200.00 |