PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf0b29b5cf68c19ffaaa0c961326d5409b0a7b501

Realised P&L
$1.0k
Volume
$91.4k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%? · Over0.5570.320$751.36$556.63
Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes? · Yes0.4030.229$568.18$431.81
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? · No0.7190.610$84.85$15.15
Will SPD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 0-2%? · Yes0.1800.340$52.89+$24.89
Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? · Yes0.2290.000$0.00$505.00
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$505.00
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$105.00
Will Colombia be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? · Yes0.5730.000$0.00$2.0k
Will Spain be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? · Yes0.2760.000$0.00$1.0k
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00$30.00
Will Australia be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? · Yes0.4110.000$0.00$1.1k
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? · Yes0.2380.000$0.00$510.00
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$1.5k
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? · Yes0.3250.000$0.00$1.0k
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 03:45Will SPD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 0-2%?BUY0.1799999995$28.00
09-12 16:13Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?BUY0.7188902681$100.00
09-12 16:12Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?BUY0.4030378475$1.0k
09-12 16:11Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?BUY0.8889679083$200.00
09-12 16:11Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?BUY0.5372478448$1000.00
09-12 16:10Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?BUY0.4127045044$108.00
09-06 22:35Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?SELL0.9963177739$8.2k
07-19 22:18Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.6296095745$5.2k
07-19 22:09Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?SELL0.999$2.3k
07-19 22:09Will Spain win the World Cup?SELL0.999$3.1k
07-12 08:30Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?BUY0.2649491785$605.00
07-12 08:29Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?SELL0.44$657.17
07-12 06:12Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.5499999972$30.00
07-12 06:11Will Spain win the World Cup?BUY0.225248104$705.00
07-07 18:01Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.43$1.5k