PolyBot

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Traders

TheOne777

0x2b62353ac4d960105acef2a265928ffcdb77438c

Realised P&L
$16.1k
Volume
$287.8k
Markets traded
1,807
Open portfolio
$20.1k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
CautionMarkets traded1,807
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Klemen Boštjančič win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? · No0.9240.985$506.03+$31.03
Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? · Yes0.6650.770$382.00+$51.91
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Morelos Congress election? · Yes0.3980.790$271.56+$134.65
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 5? · No0.8670.952$264.22+$23.58
Will Tibor Batthyány be the next Mayor of Liberec? · No0.9880.972$252.72−$4.16
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027? · Yes0.3420.380$247.12+$24.71
Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten? · Yes0.7420.970$240.43+$56.56
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more? · Yes0.6590.997$239.28+$81.11
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.978$234.60+$28.20
Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026? · No0.7550.930$225.13+$42.24
Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026? · No0.5440.765$214.27+$61.98
Will PSOE win the most seats in Las Palmas in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes0.5700.610$213.50+$14.00
Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? · Yes0.6180.695$210.59+$23.22
Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.9330.976$209.74+$9.22
Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by December 31, 2026? · No0.8150.960$206.29+$31.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 19:44Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026?SELL0.76$23.56
11-01 17:45Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 25-27.5%?BUY0.273$6.75
11-01 16:04Will PSOE win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.42$12.60
11-01 10:34Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 20-22%?SELL0.051$3.45
11-01 10:33Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more?BUY0.7478395$149.57
10-31 23:48Will Yashar win 20-21 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.9769166991$175.91
10-31 09:43Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?BUY0.77$15.40
10-30 23:50Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.25-3.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?SELL0.999$65.26
10-30 23:46Tusk out by December 31?BUY0.81$118.25
10-30 23:40Nawrocki out by December 31?BUY0.84$100.80
10-30 23:37Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.25-3.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?SELL0.999$195.77
10-30 22:46Will PSOE win the most seats in Las Palmas in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.57$199.50
10-30 22:45Will Otzma Yehudit win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.999$288.98
10-30 22:23Will PSOE win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.3428266667$51.42
10-30 22:06Will Otzma Yehudit win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.999$128.43