BKno95
0x0d93b6645d7c7730dea3e8912d1ef1618ead8cbe
- Realised P&L
- $18.8k
- Volume
- $459.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,268
- Open portfolio
- $10.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded1,268
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.255Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
- +$2.0kat 0.606Will Jay Schroeder be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?
- +$1.4kat 0.105Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?
- +$1.1kat 0.502Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
- +$1.1kat 0.297Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:53 | Will Pavlína Springerová be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové? | BUY | 0.94 | $28.20 |
| 11-01 17:27 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.94 | $47.00 |
| 11-01 17:25 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.92 | $18.40 |
| 11-01 17:25 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.93 | $18.60 |
| 11-01 15:17 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.717317447 | $1.8k |
| 11-01 15:16 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.7521370088 | $3.2k |
| 11-01 10:44 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.83 | $41.50 |
| 11-01 10:35 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.82 | $13.12 |
| 11-01 09:43 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.87 | $435.00 |
| 11-01 09:43 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.86 | $78.26 |
| 11-01 09:41 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.85 | $36.55 |
| 11-01 09:35 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.83 | $390.10 |
| 11-01 09:35 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.83 | $209.99 |
| 11-01 09:35 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.82 | $391.14 |
| 11-01 09:26 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.77 | $207.90 |