BKno95
0x0d93b6645d7c7730dea3e8912d1ef1618ead8cbe
- Realised P&L
- $18.4k
- Volume
- $390.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,079
- Open portfolio
- $11.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded1,079
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.502Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
- +$1.1kat 0.297Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?
- +$852.19at 0.361Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
- +$741.88at 0.546Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
- +$585.58at 0.779Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 05:13 | Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.828 | $8.28 |
| 09-17 05:11 | Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | BUY | 0.89 | $106.80 |
| 09-16 16:27 | Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.76 | $4.56 |
| 09-16 16:19 | Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | BUY | 0.89 | $667.50 |
| 09-16 16:18 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.953 | $285.90 |
| 09-16 16:16 | Will the Democratic Party win the LA-02 House seat? | SELL | 0.9847322034 | $290.50 |
| 09-16 13:09 | Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | BUY | 0.898 | $53.88 |
| 09-16 13:08 | Will SPD win 34 or more seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.9807936508 | $123.58 |
| 09-16 13:07 | Will SPD win 18-21 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.8827390833 | $211.86 |
| 09-16 13:06 | New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? | SELL | 0.96 | $235.20 |
| 09-16 13:00 | Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 09-16 05:53 | Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | BUY | 0.9 | $72.00 |
| 09-16 05:49 | Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes? | SELL | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-16 05:47 | Will Klára Liptáková be the next Mayor of Brno? | SELL | 0.9893628571 | $34.63 |
| 09-16 05:45 | Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.988 | $14.82 |