PolyBot

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Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.974. up 0.002 over the period, from 0.972. Range 0.965 to 0.976. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9877777
0.98840117
0.990100217
0.99423239
0.99527266
0.99638305
0.9973,3453,650
0.9982,6226,271
0.99910,46616,737

Spread0.027Mid0.974

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.96033
0.9581518
0.9571129
0.956635
0.955439
0.9531655
0.9521065
0.599670
0.59850120
0.59749169
0.579260429
0.50330459

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.04033
0.0421518
0.0431129
0.044635
0.045439
0.0471655
0.0481065
0.401670
0.40250120
0.40349169
0.421260429
0.49730459

Spread0.027Mid0.026

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0137777
0.01240117
0.010100217
0.00623239
0.00527266
0.00438305
0.0033,3453,650
0.0022,6226,271
0.00110,46616,737

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
bshardyYes318.4
XAE12ArchangelYes196.5
lottonakamotoYes40
kolenYes20
0x0524023958973E608aF9fd0c753c409Bd9421479-1756619843218Yes16
paaleteeYes10
0x2dE207686a6714876327Bc72F89f99714dADf1A0-1759788887980Yes9.2
BrownElijahniYes9.08
WilsonBenjamincYes7.07
SmithLiamYes7.06
DavisWilliamnYes6.04
wiZzeNdYes2.04
SilverBenzYes1.22
BitterVineYes1.22
f54940e77No94.7
LornaPredictsNo90
0x230d59Fa945B31660740EA95b8C9F774ED303fBB-1774601889454No67.59
thisjustdoesntfeelrightNo60.54
hhhhhhhh123212No60.13
a5533No50

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
04:29:19SELLYes0.9611$10.42
03:20:58BUYYes0.97399999811$10.57
20:31:24BUYYes0.98499999181$1.20
19:57:45BUYNo0.043577760146$2.01
13:20:52BUYYes0.9950625318$316.83
06:06:46BUYNo0.045223510922$1.00
12:37:15BUYYes0.991458972615$14.86
02:00:16SELLNo0.00890610$0.09
10:30:13BUYYes0.97799999989$9.00
01:13:21BUYYes0.9610$9.60
22:52:43SELLNo0.0522$0.11
02:27:25BUYNo0.0913$1.13
20:09:54SELLYes0.9285$4.72
19:40:37SELLYes0.9338$7.00
19:40:33SELLYes0.9348$7.70
19:40:19BUYNo0.059999955821$1.25
11:18:58BUYYes0.982$2.00
23:05:25SELLNo0.0341$0.04
10:18:21BUYNo0.04630537622$1.00
06:34:03BUYYes0.9861$1.20
06:15:18BUYNo0.05560$3.31
12:07:30SELLYes0.9521$0.99
14:30:57SELLNo0.02133$0.69
08:32:46SELLNo0.02220$0.44
08:32:45BUYYes0.97740$39.08