PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

BitterVine

0xa0cd17d894fe43c76b666b3a918b8a7953acc994

Realised P&L
$-10.80
Volume
$32.95
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$1.18

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-32.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration44.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31? · Yes0.9860.974$1.18$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 19:53Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETBUY0.88$1.54
08-24 06:34Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31?BUY0.986$1.20
08-24 06:32Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?BUY0.9919995159$2.00
08-24 03:00Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?BUY0.95$1.00
07-30 07:25Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.91$1.40
07-30 06:25Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?SELL0.947$1.54
07-30 03:32Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.876$1.29
07-08 20:28Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.8629999219$1.27
07-08 20:28Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?BUY0.9589999762$1.57
07-08 20:28Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.9299993671$1.44
06-28 21:37Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETBUY0.8299999502$1.50
05-30 03:51Valorant: Division One vs YFP Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group StageBUY0.7099999303$2.75
05-02 01:56Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETBUY0.7799999821$6.96
04-29 13:33LoL: eSuba vs Onion Team (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular SeasonBUY0.9399999934$2.83