BitterVine
0xa0cd17d894fe43c76b666b3a918b8a7953acc994
- Realised P&L
- $-10.80
- Volume
- $32.95
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $1.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-32.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration44.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31? · Yes | 0.986 | 0.974 | $1.18 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.20at 0.887Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
- +$0.18at 0.942LoL: eSuba vs Onion Team (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season
- +$0.05at 0.952Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?
- +$0.02at 0.992Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?
- +$0.01at 0.868Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 19:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.88 | $1.54 |
| 08-24 06:34 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31? | BUY | 0.986 | $1.20 |
| 08-24 06:32 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31? | BUY | 0.9919995159 | $2.00 |
| 08-24 03:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 07:25 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.40 |
| 07-30 06:25 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.947 | $1.54 |
| 07-30 03:32 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.876 | $1.29 |
| 07-08 20:28 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.8629999219 | $1.27 |
| 07-08 20:28 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9589999762 | $1.57 |
| 07-08 20:28 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.9299993671 | $1.44 |
| 06-28 21:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BUY | 0.8299999502 | $1.50 |
| 05-30 03:51 | Valorant: Division One vs YFP Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage | BUY | 0.7099999303 | $2.75 |
| 05-02 01:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7799999821 | $6.96 |
| 04-29 13:33 | LoL: eSuba vs Onion Team (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season | BUY | 0.9399999934 | $2.83 |