thisjustdoesntfeelright
0x84a24e7950deda2f8a7fd8d53b71008ff26ac7cf
- Realised P&L
- $15.01
- Volume
- $15.8k
- Markets traded
- 367
- Open portfolio
- $218.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded367
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$68.23at 0.040Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?
- +$47.09at 0.060Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
- +$28.32at 0.110Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
- +$28.32at 0.110Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
- +$26.12at 0.130Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 14:41 | Will $ANSEM reach $1 before 2027? | SELL | 0.034 | $0.35 |
| 09-13 03:57 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in December? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.43 |
| 09-13 03:42 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in December? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.43 |
| 09-11 14:07 | Will $ANSEM reach $1 before 2027? | SELL | 0.091 | $1.26 |
| 09-11 07:13 | Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 09-08 18:10 | Will Doug Burgum be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.18 |
| 09-08 10:47 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting? | SELL | 0.034 | $0.66 |
| 09-08 10:32 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting? | SELL | 0.033 | $0.64 |
| 09-08 10:17 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting? | SELL | 0.033 | $0.64 |
| 09-08 05:12 | Will Core PCE MoM be 0.5% or more in August? | SELL | 0.010367959 | $0.14 |
| 09-08 03:41 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in December? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.56 |
| 09-07 05:01 | Will Core PCE MoM be 0.5% or more in August? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.14 |
| 09-03 16:36 | Will there be at least 130m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? | SELL | 0.0224272672 | $0.74 |
| 09-03 10:02 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.21 |
| 09-03 10:02 | No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.0203150315 | $0.90 |