PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x0524023958973E608aF9fd0c753c409Bd9421479-1756619843218

0x0524023958973e608af9fd0c753c409bd9421479

Realised P&L
$-3.5k
Volume
$755.7k
Markets traded
10,313
Open portfolio
$3.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10,313
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026? · No0.9000.935$1.0k+$38.38
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9280.934$476.34+$3.08
New pandemic in 2026? · No0.9330.935$327.76+$0.63
Ebola pandemic in 2026? · No0.9110.968$212.85+$12.33
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9140.965$183.25+$9.59
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.8070.905$163.78+$17.78
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.8160.905$149.32+$14.69
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · Yes0.6750.635$127.91$8.08
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? · No0.9470.939$122.00$1.05
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No0.9440.957$107.13+$1.40
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No0.9600.955$85.95$0.45
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No0.9340.944$84.91+$0.86
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.9500.989$81.06+$3.16
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.915$73.20$0.40
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August? · No0.9500.880$70.40$5.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 05:28Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15?BUY0.78$15.60
08-02 03:28Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?SELL0.734376$14.69
08-01 15:58Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.98$29.40
08-01 15:38Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.72$14.40
08-01 10:57BetBoom Team to win 2-0?BUY0.97$5.45
08-01 10:55Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL0.91$18.20
08-01 06:14Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?BUY0.91$161.98
08-01 06:12Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?BUY0.95$76.00
08-01 06:07New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.93$186.00
08-01 06:07Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9$90.00
08-01 06:04Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9$144.00
08-01 03:51Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?BUY0.9399999937$3.00
08-01 03:50Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in August?BUY0.9879999974$3.00
07-31 17:58Will there be at least 2450 measles cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?BUY0.96$5.00
07-31 16:23Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?BUY0.994$34.79