XAE12Archangel
0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029
- Realised P&L
- $352.1k
- Volume
- $366.33M
- Markets traded
- 1,660
- Open portfolio
- $86.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,660
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.59Mat 0.002Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
- +$5.41Mat 0.003Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
- +$4.16Mat 0.575Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$2.02Mat 0.027Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$995.8kat 0.168Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 19:09 | Will Hyperliquid reach $68 in August? | BUY | 0.97 | $32.34 |
| 08-02 19:08 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in August? | BUY | 0.98195 | $196.39 |
| 08-02 19:08 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $460 in August? | BUY | 0.933 | $156.74 |
| 08-02 19:06 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 in August? | BUY | 0.954 | $95.40 |
| 08-02 19:05 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in August? | BUY | 0.96 | $96.00 |
| 08-02 19:04 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in August? | BUY | 0.966 | $96.60 |
| 08-02 19:04 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August? | BUY | 0.95 | $95.00 |
| 08-02 19:03 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $670 in August? | BUY | 0.97 | $38.80 |
| 08-02 19:03 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $670 in August? | BUY | 0.970947644 | $185.45 |
| 08-02 19:01 | Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? | BUY | 0.7429394474 | $12.64 |
| 08-02 18:59 | Will Chainlink dip to $2 in August? | BUY | 0.98 | $183.26 |
| 08-02 18:59 | Will Chainlink dip to $2 in August? | BUY | 0.9655196188 | $95.23 |
| 08-02 18:58 | Will Solana reach $90 in August? | BUY | 0.92 | $92.00 |
| 08-02 18:57 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $360 in August? | BUY | 0.94 | $188.00 |
| 08-02 18:56 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August? | BUY | 0.971 | $388.40 |