wiZzeNd
0xbb3e161ed08018271c33ce2015e4a7458416da95
- Realised P&L
- $2.97
- Volume
- $31.31
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $21.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No | 0.700 | 0.825 | $7.35 | +$1.11 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · No | 0.950 | 0.930 | $4.89 | −$0.11 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.915 | $3.05 | +$1.05 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.482 | 0.512 | $2.13 | +$0.13 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.720 | $2.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31? · Yes | 0.980 | 0.974 | $1.99 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.66at 0.859Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on August 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-29 11:23 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.6999999103 | $6.24 |
| 08-29 11:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on August 29? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.00 |
| 08-29 11:20 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 08-29 11:19 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.4819999441 | $2.00 |
| 08-29 11:18 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31? | BUY | 0.98 | $2.00 |
| 08-29 11:18 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 08-29 11:18 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.6899997205 | $2.00 |