PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

f54940e77

0xcb3b6ed4b431a9401171ba0b2694e2e296d8a2b6

Realised P&L
$7.0k
Volume
$1.92M
Markets traded
12,757
Open portfolio
$96.19

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12,757
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
BlockerProfit concentration59.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix? · Yes0.0100.495$25.25+$24.73
Will LGD GAMING make a roster change by December? · No0.0270.500$10.00+$9.45
Anthropic vs OpenAI - greater valuation growth October 2026 · Anthropic0.0240.485$8.03+$7.63
Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix? · Yes0.0100.135$5.26+$4.86
Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · No0.0120.043$5.07+$3.60
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Most Sixes Draw · Yes0.0080.499$4.25+$4.18
Will Andy Burnham not participate in the next PMQ? · Yes0.0110.075$4.14+$3.55
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Most Sixes Sri Lanka Winner · Yes0.0070.496$4.07+$4.01
Will Team Vitality make a roster change by December? · No0.0170.495$3.96+$3.83
Will Suzhou LNG Esports make a roster change by December? · No0.0200.180$3.60+$3.20
Will Anyone's Legend make a roster change by December? · No0.0090.090$2.97+$2.68
Will Cloud9 make a roster change by December? · No0.0200.135$2.70+$2.30
Will Wisla Plock vs. KKS Lech Poznan end in a draw? · Yes0.0100.260$2.60+$2.50
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Most Sixes Afghanistan Winner · No0.0150.501$2.54+$2.46
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $230 on November 2? · No0.0500.241$1.30+$1.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 00:16Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?SELL0.008$0.23
11-01 22:39Will Broad Front (FA) win 15-17 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?SELL0.097$0.53
11-01 14:04Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?SELL0.008$0.06
11-01 07:48Will the Democratic Party win the CA-29 House seat?SELL0.06$0.37
11-01 01:34Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5SELL0.97$5.04
11-01 01:18Hawks vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5SELL0.02$0.11
10-31 01:34US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?SELL0.004$0.01
10-31 01:34Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.17$1.04
10-30 06:04Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on November 3?SELL0.19$0.52
10-29 16:05Will the Democrats win Maricopa County in the Arizona governor race in 2026?SELL0.06$0.39
10-28 13:28Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Golden Boy award?SELL0.015$0.09
10-27 20:44Will Anne Hathaway be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.041$0.01
10-27 03:27Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?SELL0.03$0.41
10-26 21:48Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Golden Boy award?SELL0.057$0.07
10-26 21:48Spread: Bulls (-10.5)SELL0.023$0.19