PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

SmithLiam

0x3f900f5d46a00bec8916b0ba6485b7ea0476689c

Realised P&L
$-56.44
Volume
$509.73
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$28.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-11.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Zdenek Kolar · Juan Manuel Cerundolo0.8301.000$11.81+$2.01
Swiss Open: Pedro Martinez vs Yannick Hanfmann · Yannick Hanfmann0.7601.000$10.20+$2.45
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31? · Yes0.9910.974$6.88$0.12
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.3780.000$0.00$20.00
Canadiens vs. Lightning · Canadiens0.4630.000$0.00$11.03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET · Up0.6000.000$0.00$40.00
Bunschoten: Jay Clarke vs Louis Wessels · Jay Clarke0.7900.000$0.00$9.98
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET · Down0.9200.000$0.00$30.00
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5 · Over0.3000.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-09 15:27Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31?BUY0.9909999993$7.00
07-14 08:36Bunschoten: Jay Clarke vs Louis WesselsBUY0.7899999913$9.98
07-14 08:36Swiss Open: Pedro Martinez vs Yannick HanfmannBUY0.7599999843$7.75
07-14 08:35Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Zdenek KolarBUY0.8299999924$9.80
06-21 07:08Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 0.5BUY0.8199999967$9.89
06-21 07:08Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5BUY0.3$3.00
06-21 07:08Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5BUY0.85$9.01
06-21 07:07Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5BUY0.8899999947$10.00
05-20 07:56Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.6$40.00
05-20 07:56LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2BUY0.9099999993$40.00
05-20 07:55Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.3779999947$20.00
05-18 11:52Spread: Thunder (-14.5)BUY0.7599999947$80.00
05-18 11:40Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETBUY0.8$60.00
05-18 11:38Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETBUY0.9199999853$30.00
04-20 20:50Canadiens vs. LightningBUY0.3799999852$8.89