paaletee
0x5eda0d6cb641a76098e5cb3c9c76e57f3ecd92a7
- Realised P&L
- $4.3k
- Volume
- $970.2k
- Markets traded
- 442
- Open portfolio
- $8.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded442
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.780Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?
- +$1.6kat 0.306U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$1.6kat 0.585Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 15, 2026?
- +$1.3kat 0.575US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.589US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 01:36 | Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.994 | $298.20 |
| 09-17 00:44 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.77 | $77.00 |
| 09-17 00:41 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 09-17 00:38 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $88.00 |
| 09-16 16:18 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $92.00 |
| 09-16 16:11 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | SELL | 0.558 | $16.74 |
| 09-16 07:28 | Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 09-16 07:22 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.988 | $296.40 |
| 09-16 07:06 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | BUY | 0.725 | $3.63 |
| 09-16 06:09 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $35.20 |
| 09-15 12:34 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $285.00 |
| 09-15 12:33 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.76 | $152.00 |
| 09-14 15:00 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.9 | $118.13 |
| 09-14 14:39 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $84.00 |
| 09-14 06:05 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.85 | $85.00 |