paaletee
0x5eda0d6cb641a76098e5cb3c9c76e57f3ecd92a7
- Realised P&L
- $4.3k
- Volume
- $957.5k
- Markets traded
- 445
- Open portfolio
- $6.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded445
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.780Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?
- +$1.6kat 0.306U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$1.6kat 0.585Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 15, 2026?
- +$1.3kat 0.575US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.589US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 03:57 | No one announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.8003665427 | $256.11 |
| 10-11 14:24 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $56.04 |
| 10-09 02:29 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $190.00 |
| 10-09 02:28 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $86.00 |
| 10-09 02:28 | UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? | BUY | 0.982 | $54.99 |
| 10-06 14:22 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $184.00 |
| 09-28 19:12 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.752 | $75.20 |
| 09-24 11:08 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.063 | $12.60 |
| 09-24 11:02 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $45.50 |
| 09-22 19:24 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.418 | $41.80 |
| 09-22 11:51 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $44.00 |
| 09-22 11:50 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.456 | $22.44 |
| 09-21 18:03 | UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? | BUY | 0.958 | $95.80 |
| 09-20 10:12 | UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? | BUY | 0.957 | $19.14 |
| 09-20 10:12 | UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? | BUY | 0.957 | $38.28 |