PolyBot

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Traders

paaletee

0x5eda0d6cb641a76098e5cb3c9c76e57f3ecd92a7

Realised P&L
$4.3k
Volume
$957.5k
Markets traded
445
Open portfolio
$6.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded445
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9300.955$1.8k+$46.82
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · No0.8660.953$1.2k+$107.68
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8400.825$742.50−$13.50
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · No0.9230.855$641.25−$51.25
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9430.967$579.90+$13.90
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? · No0.9640.983$491.50+$9.60
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.8380.865$432.50+$13.50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · No0.9131.000$299.85+$25.85
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.7610.715$188.03−$12.00
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? · No0.9100.915$183.00+$1.00
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · No0.7800.875$175.00+$19.00
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.0940.032$94.50−$187.10
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.4410.159$39.63−$70.22
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.4400.105$21.00−$67.00
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0250.005$16.57−$58.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-25 03:57No one announced as next James Bond?SELL0.8003665427$256.11
10-11 14:24Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.9$56.04
10-09 02:29Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?BUY0.95$190.00
10-09 02:28Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.86$86.00
10-09 02:28UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?BUY0.982$54.99
10-06 14:22Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.92$184.00
09-28 19:12No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.752$75.20
09-24 11:08Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.063$12.60
09-24 11:02Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.91$45.50
09-22 19:24Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.418$41.80
09-22 11:51Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.44$44.00
09-22 11:50Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.456$22.44
09-21 18:03UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?BUY0.958$95.80
09-20 10:12UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?BUY0.957$19.14
09-20 10:12UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?BUY0.957$38.28