SilverBenz
0x0aebd52f94df2f07c73217c70e79a282e21a95d2
- Realised P&L
- $1.9k
- Volume
- $24.1k
- Markets traded
- 120
- Open portfolio
- $7.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded120
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDA approves Retatrutide this year? · No | 0.780 | 0.946 | $3.64 | +$0.64 |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No | 0.945 | 0.988 | $2.31 | +$0.10 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31? · Yes | 0.985 | 0.974 | $1.19 | −$0.01 |
| LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming (BO3) · LGD Gaming | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.63 |
| Dodgers vs. Pirates · Dodgers | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Oilers vs. Red Wings · Oilers | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-07-26? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.21 |
| Bears vs. Vikings · Vikings | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.611Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 23–30?
- +$5.25at 0.160Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 1-7?
- +$2.81at 0.640Rangers vs. Devils
- +$2.01at 0.999Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 28 - April 4?
- +$1.84at 0.620OpenSea token announcement in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 20:31 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31? | BUY | 0.9849999918 | $1.20 |
| 08-29 19:04 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.54 | $0.86 |
| 08-29 19:04 | Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.56 | $1.30 |
| 08-29 19:03 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.85 | $2.00 |
| 08-17 10:00 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.20 |
| 08-17 09:59 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.795 | $1.73 |
| 08-04 20:38 | National Bank Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Madison Keys | BUY | 0.9199999835 | $2.23 |
| 07-26 12:36 | Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-07-26? | BUY | 0.7399999021 | $1.21 |
| 07-18 16:39 | Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7399997262 | $1.73 |
| 07-07 11:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 7? | BUY | 0.86 | $2.26 |
| 06-27 21:02 | Will England win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.86 | $1.83 |
| 06-19 09:56 | Dota 2: Execration vs Carstensz (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.9 | $2.06 |
| 06-11 11:32 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.969 | $1.22 |
| 06-11 11:31 | Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $0.87 |
| 06-01 12:35 | Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999164 | $1.29 |