BrownElijahni
0x807b019d486fe4b489b1a527156eb7cc5920d69d
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $9.8k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $8.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31? · Yes | 0.991 | 0.974 | $8.84 | −$0.16 |
| Valorant: Team Solid vs FURIA Academy (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Group B · Team Solid | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on April 20? · Yes | 0.254 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.7k |
| Lugano: Murphy Cassone vs Petr Nesterov · Cassone | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Thunder vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Bianca Andreescu · Bianca Andreescu | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.620Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$11.80at 0.811Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
- +$9.78at 0.756Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-05-20?
- +$8.80at 0.696Cavaliers vs. Knicks
- +$2.06at 0.815Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 17:45 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31? | BUY | 0.9909999993 | $9.00 |
| 07-09 16:17 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.6124999999 | $1.8k |
| 06-21 07:59 | ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Andrea De Marchi vs Branko Djuric | BUY | 0.8499999953 | $9.00 |
| 06-21 07:59 | Will England win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.8 | $9.00 |
| 06-21 07:59 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.809999991 | $9.00 |
| 05-21 11:59 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.5599999989 | $20.00 |
| 05-21 11:59 | Cavaliers vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.6899999952 | $20.00 |
| 05-20 11:39 | Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-05-20? | BUY | 0.75 | $30.00 |
| 05-20 11:39 | Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Bianca Andreescu | BUY | 0.8399999989 | $30.00 |
| 05-19 10:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $50.00 |
| 04-20 08:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on April 20? | BUY | 0.001 | $6.12 |
| 03-06 18:43 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $2.00 |
| 03-06 18:43 | Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.995 | $2.00 |
| 03-06 18:43 | Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.982999998 | $2.00 |
| 02-24 09:20 | Will the median home value in the DC Metro area be between $507,000 and $517,000 by March 1? | BUY | 0.9889999997 | $3.68 |