PolyBot

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Will SpaceX have fewer than 12 launches in September 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.974. up 0.049 over the period, from 0.925. Range 0.893 to 0.990. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.992235235
0.99339274
0.99467340
0.995200540
0.996100640
0.997167807
0.9982631,070
0.9994151,485

Spread0.036Mid0.974

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9564545
0.824120165
0.82350215
0.82073288
0.750100388
0.71730419
0.620100519
0.57070589
0.54030619
0.530100719
0.520100819
0.29020839

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0444545
0.176120165
0.17750215
0.18073288
0.250100388
0.28330419
0.380100519
0.43070589
0.46030619
0.470100719
0.480100819
0.71020839

Spread0.036Mid0.026

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.008235235
0.00739274
0.00667340
0.005200540
0.004100640
0.003167807
0.0022631,070
0.0014151,485

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
anonymoususer10Yes338.91
cosmicsteaksYes194.63
BetterFishYes96.83
shiifooYes20
walkwithyourboyYes10
VincuYes3.13
0xa5ef…2966No129.25
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.No120
romanew-1-newNo69.92
AJSVNo64.63
LornaPredictsNo60
VonVonaghNo50
infoowlNo39.99
lpgbNo30.5
PPMTNo30.01
cigarettesNo28.1
Mojito9No20
thursdaysNo15
0x40C73F1916fbd495f8117Dc5755561aD778CB1E8-1782111633519No5
RespireNo1.69

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
15:34:00BUYNo0.0522$0.09
15:05:01BUYNo0.03422001811$0.38
15:05:01BUYNo0.01510$0.15
14:12:16SELLYes0.9383$2.81
00:40:52SELLNo0.0104100$1.04
22:09:34BUYYes0.960171377541$39.77
22:09:34BUYYes0.9618840928100$96.50
19:17:10BUYNo0.07628$2.14
19:17:10BUYNo0.07610$0.76
11:21:30BUYNo0.0607117540$2.43
06:48:48BUYNo0.046$0.26
06:47:45BUYYes0.9779999986$6.00
20:14:58SELLYes0.9410$9.40
07:56:19SELLNo0.0444$1.74
03:08:31SELLNo0.05156$7.82
01:59:18SELLNo0.0754296161109$8.25
00:02:33BUYYes0.848138374834$28.52
00:01:19BUYYes0.829999990416$12.97
00:01:19BUYYes0.83112$92.96
22:15:30BUYNo0.179999998897$17.43
20:09:40BUYNo0.1720$3.47
18:45:51BUYNo0.169999997449$8.41
15:07:07BUYNo0.1412$1.68
23:55:12SELLNo0.1338$4.88
15:10:48BUYNo0.230505312938$8.65