PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

BetterFish

0xc412fdbe9956c2e242e8b45fae131c3e8598592d

Realised P&L
$36.2k
Volume
$3.18M
Markets traded
3,882
Open portfolio
$25.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded3,882
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.9800.991$2.8k+$29.65
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 50 million or more views in week 1? · No0.9660.969$2.7k+$9.80
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1? · No0.9901.000$1.5k+$14.82
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? · No0.8950.940$1.5k+$71.99
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · No0.9030.975$883.88+$65.15
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? · No0.8480.875$875.49+$27.50
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1? · No0.9971.000$712.14+$1.67
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.8940.933$692.29+$28.87
Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms? · No0.8760.979$652.99+$68.53
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? · Yes0.7590.876$652.80+$87.42
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.9620.994$596.40+$19.20
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.9590.969$593.15+$5.82
Will Young & Strange win AGT Season 21? · No0.9981.000$581.71+$1.37
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.9570.959$575.40+$1.30
Will SpaceX have 15+ launches in September 2026? · No0.9750.998$536.11+$12.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 04:33Will gas hit $3.50 (Low) by September 30?BUY0.9938779841$22.48
09-17 04:33Will gas hit $3.70 (Low) by September 30?BUY0.9910370441$156.77
09-17 04:32Will gas hit $3.90 (Low) by September 30?BUY0.98$5.40
09-17 04:32Will gas hit $3.90 (Low) by September 30?BUY0.98$10.59
09-17 04:31Will gas hit $4.00 (Low) by September 30?BUY0.96$29.02
09-17 04:30Will gas hit $4.40 (High) by September 30?BUY0.99$217.32
09-17 04:10Will gas hit $4.40 (High) by September 30?BUY0.98$15.96
09-17 01:00Will Young & Strange win AGT Season 21?BUY0.9976393908$580.34
09-17 01:00Will Luke Taleno win AGT Season 21?BUY0.998$149.70
09-17 01:00Will Cesar Dias win AGT Season 21?BUY0.9986679688$255.66
09-17 00:59Will Travis Garland be the runner-up of AGT Season 21?BUY0.9979186388$356.31
09-17 00:56Will Cesar Dias be the runner-up of AGT Season 21?BUY0.9977118644$294.32
09-17 00:27Will Daniel Alvarez be the runner-up of AGT Season 21?BUY0.9978484848$329.29
09-17 00:25Will Daniel Alvarez win AGT Season 21?BUY0.9975020529$325.54
09-17 00:25Will Kameron Marshall win AGT Season 21?BUY0.9976936231$286.47