PolyBot

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Traders

cosmicsteaks

0xf4f88a1e25ff5dfae68326eb62049d6a1b7c5bf1

Realised P&L
$32.6k
Volume
$3.76M
Markets traded
23,384
Open portfolio
$14.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded23,384
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes? · No0.7500.756$2.0k+$15.59
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yes0.7700.765$1.8k$11.21
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4900.379$964.87$283.62
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · No0.5770.969$871.29+$352.38
Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes? · No0.7650.885$756.22+$102.16
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.3020.130$456.42$605.20
Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 · Over0.0800.495$450.08+$377.34
Will CD Real Tomayapo win on 2026-09-17? · No0.6761.000$416.52+$134.81
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4800.445$346.65$27.26
Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority? · No0.7660.805$326.02+$15.94
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? · No0.7890.983$309.16+$60.96
Will Moderate Party (M) win less than 16% of all valid votes? · No0.7251.000$289.25+$79.54
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes0.1850.130$217.62$92.55
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05? · No0.5710.980$200.08+$83.42
Will the PLQ win fewer than 28 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? · No0.6920.740$193.14+$12.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 00:24Boston Red Sox vs. Texas RangersBUY0.5388461538$35.02
09-18 00:20Will it rain in New York, NY on September 17?BUY0.25$4.50
09-18 00:01Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs FlyQuest RED (BO5) - VCT Game Changers North America PlayoffsBUY0.26$3.90
09-17 23:31Will Brenda Locke win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?BUY0.2199999941$3.00
09-17 23:30Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs FlyQuest RED (BO5) - VCT Game Changers North America PlayoffsBUY0.65$3.25
09-17 23:05Will it rain in Denver, CO on September 17?BUY0.56$9.52
09-17 23:04Dota 2: Kalmychata vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - European Pro League Group BBUY0.75$6.00
09-17 22:59Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs FlyQuest RED (BO5) - VCT Game Changers North America PlayoffsBUY0.47$2.35
09-17 22:52Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs FlyQuest RED (BO5) - VCT Game Changers North America PlayoffsBUY0.648137931$37.59
09-17 22:48Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Elementals - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.09$23.58
09-17 22:22Will CD Real Tomayapo win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.6759990881$281.71
09-17 21:51Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs FlyQuest RED (BO5) - VCT Game Changers North America PlayoffsBUY0.46$2.30
09-17 21:45Will Linda Annis win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?BUY0.1067222199$3.06
09-17 21:45Set 1 Winner: Eva Lys vs Nadia PodoroskaBUY0.43$2.15
09-17 20:41Will Augusto Cury win 6% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.3$8.40