cosmicsteaks
0xf4f88a1e25ff5dfae68326eb62049d6a1b7c5bf1
- Realised P&L
- $32.6k
- Volume
- $3.76M
- Markets traded
- 23,384
- Open portfolio
- $14.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded23,384
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.8kat 0.100Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5
- +$3.0kat 0.144Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
- +$2.6kat 0.091Will Algeria win on 2026-06-03?
- +$2.5kat 0.503LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
- +$2.3kat 0.106Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 00:24 | Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.5388461538 | $35.02 |
| 09-18 00:20 | Will it rain in New York, NY on September 17? | BUY | 0.25 | $4.50 |
| 09-18 00:01 | Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs FlyQuest RED (BO5) - VCT Game Changers North America Playoffs | BUY | 0.26 | $3.90 |
| 09-17 23:31 | Will Brenda Locke win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election? | BUY | 0.2199999941 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 23:30 | Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs FlyQuest RED (BO5) - VCT Game Changers North America Playoffs | BUY | 0.65 | $3.25 |
| 09-17 23:05 | Will it rain in Denver, CO on September 17? | BUY | 0.56 | $9.52 |
| 09-17 23:04 | Dota 2: Kalmychata vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - European Pro League Group B | BUY | 0.75 | $6.00 |
| 09-17 22:59 | Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs FlyQuest RED (BO5) - VCT Game Changers North America Playoffs | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 09-17 22:52 | Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs FlyQuest RED (BO5) - VCT Game Changers North America Playoffs | BUY | 0.648137931 | $37.59 |
| 09-17 22:48 | Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Elementals - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.09 | $23.58 |
| 09-17 22:22 | Will CD Real Tomayapo win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.6759990881 | $281.71 |
| 09-17 21:51 | Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs FlyQuest RED (BO5) - VCT Game Changers North America Playoffs | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 09-17 21:45 | Will Linda Annis win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election? | BUY | 0.1067222199 | $3.06 |
| 09-17 21:45 | Set 1 Winner: Eva Lys vs Nadia Podoroska | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 09-17 20:41 | Will Augusto Cury win 6% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3 | $8.40 |