PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cosmicsteaks

0xf4f88a1e25ff5dfae68326eb62049d6a1b7c5bf1

Realised P&L
$7.1k
Volume
$4.81M
Markets traded
27,985
Open portfolio
$35.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded27,985
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion? · No0.7150.820$2.2k+$280.12
Will Kansas be the closest Senate race in 2026? · No0.8420.868$1.5k+$44.73
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? · No0.7300.690$1.5k−$84.08
Will Republicans win 0 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala? · No0.8930.961$1.4k+$97.00
Paine Lions vs. Jacksonville Dolphins · Jacksonville Dolphins0.9470.514$904.06−$760.12
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · No0.5770.986$880.82+$365.28
Will South Carolina be the closest Senate race in 2026? · No0.8890.894$836.53+$4.68
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.3160.335$829.95+$45.61
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? · Yes0.7680.675$774.98−$107.25
Will Melissa Hernandez win the CA-14 House seat? · No0.8470.955$736.87+$82.77
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? · Yes0.6410.665$722.96+$26.20
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-47 House seat? · Yes0.8840.978$713.94+$68.59
Will Podemos win exactly 0 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? · No0.5050.465$681.69−$58.25
Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 House seat? · Yes0.8480.945$634.24+$65.38
Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? · No0.3380.320$615.99−$35.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 07:18Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.12$4.08
11-02 06:42Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.4556521739$20.96
11-02 05:23Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Liquid - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.3$6.00
11-02 03:27Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.46$21.16
11-02 03:18W35 Hamamatsu: Tsuki Shibutani vs Karen TsutsumiBUY0.39$1.95
11-02 03:17Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.2699999904$7.04
11-02 03:12Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.26$1.82
11-02 03:04Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.26$17.41
11-02 03:01Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.35$2.45
11-02 02:56Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.33379705$24.70
11-02 02:541H Spread: Commanders (-2.5)BUY0.89$7.80
11-02 02:51Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.1055555556$4.75
11-02 02:38Will Invictus Gaming Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?BUY0.0996178344$7.82
11-02 02:38Will Invictus Gaming Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?BUY0.1003441542$1.53
11-02 02:38Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.18$8.10