Respire
0x604a8243cac92b254f1dbbdd676f595229e714f4
- Realised P&L
- $79.33
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 400
- Open portfolio
- $93.40
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded400
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.47at 0.125Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?
- +$17.84at 0.095Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in September 2026?
- +$7.93at 0.246Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$7.61at 0.344Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13?
- +$6.64at 0.202Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 11:41 | Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 07:24 | Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m? | SELL | 0.981 | $2.40 |
| 11-01 07:03 | Will the Labour Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 07:03 | Will the Labour Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 08:03 | Will OpenRouter process 205T or more tokens the week of October 26? | BUY | 0.9519999695 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 06:57 | Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 06:11 | Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 06:10 | Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 08:13 | Will Democrats win the Michigan and Ohio Senate seats? | BUY | 0.5699999525 | $1.80 |
| 10-30 08:13 | Will Democrats win the Ohio and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 09:43 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.8199994588 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 15:45 | Will "Wicker" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | SELL | 0.69 | $1.70 |
| 10-28 13:25 | Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 13:21 | Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 13:20 | Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |