Vincu
0x51cdb178ff577802accdf4d9a0041cec2de68f52
- Realised P&L
- $-27.41
- Volume
- $6.1k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $12.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.58at 0.763Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
- +$0.05at 0.955Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 14:16 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3609999482 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 14:12 | Will SpaceX have fewer than 12 launches in September 2026? | SELL | 0.938 | $2.81 |
| 09-17 07:37 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 07:19 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.8199994588 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 07:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | BUY | 0.629999995 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 06:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.7499999625 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 06:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 06:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 06:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 06:48 | Will SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in September 2026? | BUY | 0.1549999977 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 06:48 | Will SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in September 2026? | BUY | 0.1639999993 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 06:47 | Will SpaceX have fewer than 12 launches in September 2026? | BUY | 0.977999998 | $6.00 |
| 09-14 06:45 | European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 06:35 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 06:31 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15? | BUY | 0.9549999952 | $1.00 |