Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://www.spacex.com/launches

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.013. down 0.011 over the period, from 0.024. Range 0.013 to 0.025. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.016	8	8
0.017	70	78
0.018	26	104
0.019	209	313
0.020	420	733
0.030	28	761
0.036	102	863
0.037	46	909
0.047	287	1,196
0.048	30	1,226
0.050	55	1,281
0.052	55	1,336

Spread0.007Mid0.013

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.009	45	45
0.008	160	205
0.006	32	236
0.005	275	512
0.004	564	1,076
0.003	910	1,986
0.002	2,066	4,052
0.001	4,020	8,072

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.991	45	45
0.992	160	205
0.994	32	236
0.995	275	512
0.996	564	1,076
0.997	910	1,986
0.998	2,066	4,052
0.999	4,020	8,072

Spread0.007Mid0.988

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.984	8	8
0.983	70	78
0.982	26	104
0.981	209	313
0.980	420	733
0.970	28	761
0.964	102	863
0.963	46	909
0.953	287	1,196
0.952	30	1,226
0.950	55	1,281
0.948	55	1,336

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
tja	Yes	3,844.08
prospekt	Yes	692
Shekel	Yes	461.88
paprikc	Yes	377.99
ivanzolo2004	Yes	374.89
YoungMoziRPG	Yes	326.29
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	287.35
0xf5Df042495FfA193b5ef23Bbd7A47D124b1faEbd-1761992440576	Yes	222.35
xiaoaojiang	Yes	220
SherriAllen9696	Yes	199
Dud3	Yes	174.86
LornaPredicts	Yes	156.99
86fgh	Yes	156.4
crossFiter	Yes	143
JacquelineAnderson8778	Yes	136
Ogre-Magi	Yes	133.64
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	108.44
Elias.Thornwell	Yes	86.92
LisaSantos8792	Yes	82
387411007415611814092217897387	Yes	76.54

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
21:04:07	SELL	No	0.983	21	$20.64
20:26:22	BUY	No	0.9919800059	1,144	$1134.67
19:21:46	BUY	No	0.987	33	$32.32
23:12:25	BUY	No	0.983336	10	$9.83
07:39:58	BUY	No	0.983	7	$7.16
01:44:20	BUY	Yes	0.015	21	$0.32
20:59:42	BUY	Yes	0.015	5	$0.07
20:59:32	BUY	Yes	0.015	5	$0.07
15:13:11	SELL	Yes	0.014	40	$0.56
15:11:56	BUY	Yes	0.017	55	$0.93
08:17:48	BUY	Yes	0.03	5	$0.15
08:17:47	BUY	Yes	0.03	5	$0.15
08:17:41	BUY	Yes	0.03	5	$0.15
08:17:36	BUY	Yes	0.03	5	$0.15
08:17:35	BUY	Yes	0.03	5	$0.15
03:36:38	SELL	No	0.9700844399	147	$142.46
02:10:14	SELL	Yes	0.027	14	$0.38
02:09:31	SELL	Yes	0.027	30	$0.81
02:09:29	SELL	Yes	0.028	7	$0.19
11:57:25	SELL	Yes	0.0119865215	189	$2.27
17:41:52	SELL	Yes	0.017	30	$0.51
17:38:38	SELL	No	0.963	14	$13.78
15:02:08	BUY	Yes	0.036	30	$1.08
07:40:06	BUY	Yes	0.0264554047	378	$10.00
18:47:54	SELL	Yes	0.02	110	$2.20