PolyBot

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Traders

tja

0xe1b361d6a6f237b9ed7534d19b232df8369e1426

Realised P&L
$142.6k
Volume
$2.84M
Markets traded
1,548
Open portfolio
$89.2k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
CautionMarkets traded1,548
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.4080.885$29.8k+$16.1k
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.876$26.3k+$11.3k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7490.825$4.1k+$378.03
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.123$3.7k−$11.3k
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7350.875$2.3k+$359.04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? · No0.6800.945$2.1k+$588.83
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · No0.8820.983$2.0k+$209.83
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · No0.7411.000$1.8k+$465.10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · No0.8300.905$1.4k+$119.62
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · No0.6870.820$1.4k+$229.36
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · No0.9480.975$1.0k+$28.74
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.8400.860$1.0k+$24.00
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.7460.955$999.75+$219.29
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8300.977$976.50+$146.50
Iran leadership change by November 30? · No0.9100.915$960.75+$5.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 20:14Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.88$3.5k
10-25 21:55Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.64$228.78
10-21 20:15US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?SELL0.2$22.73
10-21 20:13US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?SELL0.24$11.61
10-21 20:12US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?SELL0.264$4.19
10-21 19:03US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.24$99.52
10-19 23:50US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?SELL0.080668012$98.54
10-19 18:25US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.22$421.65
10-19 18:25US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.78$542.26
10-19 18:25US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?BUY0.38$2.28
10-19 16:43US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.64$467.92
10-19 14:36Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?SELL0.7043237972$924.46
10-19 11:40Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.86$4.30
10-18 10:29Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?BUY0.89$149.80
10-13 15:45Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?BUY0.9646417758$1.1k