tja
0xe1b361d6a6f237b9ed7534d19b232df8369e1426
- Realised P&L
- $142.6k
- Volume
- $2.84M
- Markets traded
- 1,548
- Open portfolio
- $89.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded1,548
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.4kat 0.0400 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
- +$7.5kat 0.995MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$4.9kat 0.553MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?
- +$4.5kat 0.702MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
- +$4.2kat 0.914Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 20:14 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.88 | $3.5k |
| 10-25 21:55 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $228.78 |
| 10-21 20:15 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | SELL | 0.2 | $22.73 |
| 10-21 20:13 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | SELL | 0.24 | $11.61 |
| 10-21 20:12 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | SELL | 0.264 | $4.19 |
| 10-21 19:03 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.24 | $99.52 |
| 10-19 23:50 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | SELL | 0.080668012 | $98.54 |
| 10-19 18:25 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.22 | $421.65 |
| 10-19 18:25 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.78 | $542.26 |
| 10-19 18:25 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | BUY | 0.38 | $2.28 |
| 10-19 16:43 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.64 | $467.92 |
| 10-19 14:36 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.7043237972 | $924.46 |
| 10-19 11:40 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 10-18 10:29 | Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18? | BUY | 0.89 | $149.80 |
| 10-13 15:45 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.9646417758 | $1.1k |