prospekt
0x71664b22a63b07293a5bd377df30a3e77ca5f815
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $91.5k
- Markets traded
- 120
- Open portfolio
- $78.45
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded120
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.107 | $74.04 | −$140.48 |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.185 | $2.77 | −$2.92 |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.530 | $1.59 | +$0.45 |
| Deel IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.045 | $0.04 | −$0.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$161.03at 0.250Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
- +$97.90at 0.530Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?
- +$75.20at 0.530Will Donald Trump say "real peace" or "legitimate peace" during Israel President events on December 29?
- +$44.01at 0.240Will Liftoff Mobile not IPO before April 2026?
- +$41.64at 0.750U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-30 14:53 | 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | SELL | 0.87 | $214.02 |
| 03-30 00:25 | 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | BUY | 0.87 | $214.02 |
| 03-25 17:53 | Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $75.60 |
| 03-25 04:34 | Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $75.60 |
| 03-22 11:02 | Will Twice release a song in 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $83.59 |
| 03-21 17:42 | Will "Jamie" be said 3+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29) | SELL | 0.11 | $25.96 |
| 03-21 00:18 | Will "Jamie" be said 3+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29) | BUY | 0.82 | $193.52 |
| 03-20 06:27 | Will Twice release a song in 2026? | BUY | 0.3698506998 | $237.81 |
| 03-16 08:18 | Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $57.70 |
| 03-16 02:20 | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 18? | SELL | 0.26 | $106.86 |
| 03-15 11:56 | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 18? | BUY | 0.43 | $176.73 |
| 03-15 10:32 | Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $75.01 |
| 03-12 09:21 | Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" in March? | SELL | 0.41 | $103.32 |
| 03-12 09:20 | Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" in March? | SELL | 0.41 | $36.08 |
| 03-11 09:41 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 | SELL | 0.7 | $277.90 |