PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

prospekt

0x71664b22a63b07293a5bd377df30a3e77ca5f815

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$91.5k
Markets traded
120
Open portfolio
$78.45

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded120
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration94.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? · Yes0.3100.107$74.04$140.48
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.3800.185$2.77$2.92
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.3800.530$1.59+$0.45
Deel IPO before 2027? · Yes0.2500.045$0.04$0.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-30 14:539.0 or above earthquake before 2027?SELL0.87$214.02
03-30 00:259.0 or above earthquake before 2027?BUY0.87$214.02
03-25 17:53Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?SELL0.63$75.60
03-25 04:34Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?BUY0.63$75.60
03-22 11:02Will Twice release a song in 2026?SELL0.13$83.59
03-21 17:42Will "Jamie" be said 3+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)SELL0.11$25.96
03-21 00:18Will "Jamie" be said 3+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)BUY0.82$193.52
03-20 06:27Will Twice release a song in 2026?BUY0.3698506998$237.81
03-16 08:18Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?SELL0.1$57.70
03-16 02:20Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 18?SELL0.26$106.86
03-15 11:56Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 18?BUY0.43$176.73
03-15 10:32Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.13$75.01
03-12 09:21Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" in March?SELL0.41$103.32
03-12 09:20Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" in March?SELL0.41$36.08
03-11 09:41Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026SELL0.7$277.90