PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

YoungMoziRPG

0x30687f44db250f7d914acb4ddc9634c3400e083d

Realised P&L
$2.0k
Volume
$358.8k
Markets traded
805
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded805
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? · Yes0.7010.721$1.4k+$38.04
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.135$67.50+$7.50
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.055$22.00−$38.00
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? · Yes0.4440.013$4.08−$140.92
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June? · No0.4050.000$0.00−$450.89
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping? · No0.6720.000$0.00−$149.84
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$102.00
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026? · Yes0.2940.000$0.00−$16.92
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3710.000$0.00−$120.00
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4560.000$0.00−$573.63
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? · Yes0.1390.000$0.00−$420.00
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes0.1070.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$8.31
Will Trump say "Pearl Harbor" this week? · No0.6650.000$0.00−$76.20
Will Trump say "Maduro" this week? · No0.5400.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 05:48Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?SELL0.7255239316$84.89
09-11 14:00Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?BUY0.25$216.03
09-11 13:59Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.7915188673$225.28
09-08 15:06Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?BUY0.32$291.25
09-08 15:05Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.7830582051$305.39
09-04 09:45Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?BUY0.0699999903$6.66
09-03 21:23Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?BUY0.3468440264$21.00
09-03 21:21Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.82$28.70
09-03 15:06Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.431999992$25.53
09-03 15:06Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?BUY0.31$36.57
09-01 09:50Will Trump say "Javelin" in September?BUY0.6414956012$56.00
09-01 09:49Will Trump say "Future President" in September?BUY0.75$22.50
09-01 09:46Will Trump say "Pelosi" in September?BUY0.75$30.30
09-01 09:45Will Trump say "Epstein" in September?BUY0.69$10.35
08-31 22:42Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?BUY0.4$151.89