0xf5Df042495FfA193b5ef23Bbd7A47D124b1faEbd-1761992440576
0xf5df042495ffa193b5ef23bbd7a47d124b1faebd
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $27.2k
- Markets traded
- 94
- Open portfolio
- $41.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded94
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? · Yes | 0.455 | 0.107 | $23.79 | −$77.38 |
| Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? · Yes | 0.144 | 0.052 | $18.20 | −$31.80 |
| Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10? · Yes | 0.409 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11? · Yes | 0.649 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? · No | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$103.64at 0.550Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
- +$80.35at 0.554Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
- +$56.15at 0.780BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5
- +$44.50at 0.100Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?
- +$42.56at 0.920Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Lulu Sun vs Magda Linette
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-04 13:02 | Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | SELL | 0.74 | $403.63 |
| 04-01 10:08 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.994 | $26.15 |
| 03-29 20:53 | Colombia vs. France: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.999 | $16.64 |
| 03-29 18:37 | Colombia vs. France: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |
| 03-21 11:16 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.4499999921 | $20.00 |
| 03-21 11:16 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.7599999483 | $10.00 |
| 03-21 11:16 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.7599999483 | $10.00 |
| 03-20 20:08 | Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.018 | $17.18 |
| 03-20 20:07 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.052 | $18.25 |
| 03-20 20:07 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.01 | $16.67 |
| 03-20 20:06 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.104 | $18.57 |
| 03-20 20:06 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.014 | $20.00 |
| 03-20 20:06 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.109 | $45.61 |
| 03-20 20:06 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.086 | $48.91 |
| 03-16 17:26 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17? | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $10.00 |