SherriAllen9696
0x25662ec8e174cfe494e7643fb05d0b1f06787d60
- Realised P&L
- $-372.07
- Volume
- $207.9k
- Markets traded
- 228
- Open portfolio
- $526.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded228
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.820 | 0.925 | $490.25 | +$55.65 |
| Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.107 | $21.29 | −$48.36 |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.935 | $9.35 | +$1.35 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? · No | 0.500 | 0.790 | $3.16 | +$1.16 |
| Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.480 | 0.945 | $0.94 | +$0.47 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.540 | 0.915 | $0.92 | +$0.38 |
| Rippling IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.045 | $0.81 | −$2.79 |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? · Yes | 0.083 | 0.091 | $0.09 | +$0.01 |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.003 | $0.07 | −$7.47 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$122.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$760.20at 0.300Will Medline's market cap be between $45B and $55B at market close on IPO day?
- +$441.83at 0.160Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-02-05?
- +$313.88at 0.160Will Trump say "Sovereign / Sovereignty" in April?
- +$244.54at 0.720Will coffeexcoin win the competition?
- +$231.42at 0.229Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-13 04:08 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $160.08 |
| 04-13 04:07 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $185.31 |
| 04-13 04:06 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 04-10 02:25 | Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $434.60 |
| 04-10 01:38 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.49 | $568.89 |
| 04-10 00:49 | Will "Headshot" be said 10+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? | BUY | 0.24 | $507.60 |
| 04-09 22:00 | Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $61.91 |
| 04-09 21:59 | Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $214.43 |
| 04-09 21:57 | Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $90.61 |
| 04-09 09:58 | 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $21.84 |
| 04-09 09:57 | 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $21.84 |
| 04-09 09:55 | 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $98.00 |
| 04-09 09:54 | 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $95.20 |
| 04-09 07:32 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $305.25 |
| 04-09 07:07 | Will "Headshot" be said 10+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? | BUY | 0.2 | $330.40 |