Ogre-Magi
0x99f0563d918b53dd8bedbcf1709af042c051649f
- Realised P&L
- $6.5k
- Volume
- $247.5k
- Markets traded
- 502
- Open portfolio
- $4.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded502
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.0380 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
- +$519.50at 0.097MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$317.15at 0.707MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
- +$300.71at 0.268Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?
- +$292.84at 0.519Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 14:59 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.854 | $25.28 |
| 09-14 14:59 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.854 | $25.28 |
| 09-14 14:59 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.854 | $25.28 |
| 09-12 14:40 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $21.37 |
| 09-12 14:40 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $21.37 |
| 09-12 14:40 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8092418499 | $21.35 |
| 09-12 12:17 | Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.32 |
| 09-12 12:17 | Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.32 |
| 09-11 13:51 | Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | BUY | 0.88 | $11.18 |
| 09-09 10:58 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $8.93 |
| 09-09 10:58 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $8.93 |
| 09-09 10:58 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $8.93 |
| 09-09 09:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.93 |
| 09-09 09:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.93 |
| 09-09 09:02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.17 |