Ogre-Magi
0x99f0563d918b53dd8bedbcf1709af042c051649f
- Realised P&L
- $3.3k
- Volume
- $232.5k
- Markets traded
- 436
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded436
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$552.40at 0.095MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$333.62at 0.702MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
- +$262.48at 0.492Wimbledon WTA: Solana Sierra vs Anna Bondar
- +$205.08at 0.087Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?
- +$186.30at 0.180US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 02:40 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.46 | $46.00 |
| 08-02 02:40 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.46 | $46.00 |
| 08-02 02:20 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.49 | $25.40 |
| 08-02 02:20 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 08-02 02:12 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.5 | $37.85 |
| 08-02 02:12 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.49 | $8.45 |
| 08-02 02:10 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.81 |
| 07-28 13:18 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.44 | $539.00 |
| 07-28 13:10 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31? | BUY | 0.021 | $4.17 |
| 07-28 02:05 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $14.15 |
| 07-28 02:05 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $194.77 |
| 07-27 15:49 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15? | BUY | 0.92 | $36.80 |
| 07-27 15:46 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $41.99 |
| 07-27 15:44 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $12.00 |
| 07-27 15:44 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $12.00 |