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Traders

Ogre-Magi

0x99f0563d918b53dd8bedbcf1709af042c051649f

Realised P&L
$6.3k
Volume
$256.8k
Markets traded
519
Open portfolio
$2.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded519
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.5850.885$581.88+$197.15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7720.825$307.63+$19.71
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7670.875$222.46+$27.33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? · No0.6600.945$212.81+$64.08
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · No0.6950.820$182.51+$27.77
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · No0.8300.905$144.33+$11.96
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · No0.7591.000$103.95+$24.96
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.8400.865$103.80+$3.00
Iran leadership change by November 30? · No0.9100.915$96.08+$0.53
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.9300.955$63.60+$1.67
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No0.2030.593$60.81+$39.98
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · No0.6370.460$60.47−$23.32
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · No0.8980.969$55.49+$4.05
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · Anthropic0.7800.978$48.88+$9.90
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.8400.979$47.06+$6.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 20:14Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.88$704.00
10-26 13:58Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.64$8.31
10-26 13:58Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.64$8.31
10-25 21:55Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.64$15.25
10-25 21:55Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.64$15.25
10-25 21:55Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.64$15.25
10-20 16:31US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?BUY0.0606450965$20.21
10-20 16:31US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?BUY0.061$20.33
10-19 18:30US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?BUY0.103$2.60
10-19 18:30US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?BUY0.103$2.60
10-19 18:30US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?BUY0.103$2.60
10-19 18:27US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?BUY0.12775$2.56
10-19 18:26US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?BUY0.4$4.00
10-19 18:25US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.24$30.66
10-19 17:25US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?BUY0.48$2.71