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Traders

Ogre-Magi

0x99f0563d918b53dd8bedbcf1709af042c051649f

Realised P&L
$6.5k
Volume
$247.5k
Markets traded
502
Open portfolio
$4.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded502
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.4660.825$1.6k+$705.92
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.7141.000$592.38+$169.46
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7720.835$311.36+$23.44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? · No0.6600.880$198.18+$49.44
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7670.745$189.41$5.72
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · No0.6950.725$161.36+$6.62
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · No0.8300.855$136.36+$3.99
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.8400.855$102.60+$1.80
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No0.3730.665$101.76+$44.70
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · No0.7590.935$97.24+$18.25
Iran leadership change by November 30? · No0.9100.915$96.08+$0.53
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.4110.875$85.66+$45.40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · No0.8600.945$78.72+$7.08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.4300.992$65.51+$37.11
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.9300.925$61.60$0.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 14:59Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?BUY0.854$25.28
09-14 14:59Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?BUY0.854$25.28
09-14 14:59Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?BUY0.854$25.28
09-12 14:40Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?BUY0.81$21.37
09-12 14:40Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?BUY0.81$21.37
09-12 14:40Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8092418499$21.35
09-12 12:17Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?BUY0.25$1.32
09-12 12:17Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?BUY0.25$1.32
09-11 13:51Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?BUY0.88$11.18
09-09 10:58Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.67$8.93
09-09 10:58Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.67$8.93
09-09 10:58Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.67$8.93
09-09 09:29Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?BUY0.44$2.93
09-09 09:29Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?BUY0.44$2.93
09-09 09:02Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?BUY0.19$3.17