Ogre-Magi
0x99f0563d918b53dd8bedbcf1709af042c051649f
- Realised P&L
- $6.3k
- Volume
- $256.8k
- Markets traded
- 519
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded519
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.0380 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
- +$519.50at 0.097MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$317.15at 0.707MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
- +$300.71at 0.268Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?
- +$292.84at 0.519Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 20:14 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.88 | $704.00 |
| 10-26 13:58 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $8.31 |
| 10-26 13:58 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $8.31 |
| 10-25 21:55 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $15.25 |
| 10-25 21:55 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $15.25 |
| 10-25 21:55 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $15.25 |
| 10-20 16:31 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | BUY | 0.0606450965 | $20.21 |
| 10-20 16:31 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | BUY | 0.061 | $20.33 |
| 10-19 18:30 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | BUY | 0.103 | $2.60 |
| 10-19 18:30 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | BUY | 0.103 | $2.60 |
| 10-19 18:30 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | BUY | 0.103 | $2.60 |
| 10-19 18:27 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | BUY | 0.12775 | $2.56 |
| 10-19 18:26 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.00 |
| 10-19 18:25 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $30.66 |
| 10-19 17:25 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.71 |