Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-09-30
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.020. down 0.008 over the period, from 0.028. Range 0.017 to 0.029. 159 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.024	88	88
0.025	1,301	1,389
0.026	248	1,637
0.030	300	1,937
0.032	100	2,037
0.034	444	2,481
0.035	50	2,531
0.037	73	2,604
0.039	700	3,304
0.040	1,000	4,304
0.043	371	4,675
0.047	185	4,860

Spread0.008Mid0.020

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.016	28	28
0.015	371	398
0.014	946	1,344
0.013	248	1,592
0.012	820	2,412
0.010	10	2,422
0.006	100	2,522
0.004	1,100	3,622
0.003	2,000	5,622
0.002	4,737	10,359
0.001	96,070	106,429

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.984	28	28
0.985	371	398
0.986	946	1,344
0.987	248	1,592
0.988	820	2,412
0.990	10	2,422
0.994	100	2,522
0.996	1,100	3,622
0.997	2,000	5,622
0.998	4,737	10,359
0.999	96,070	106,429

Spread0.008Mid0.980

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.976	88	88
0.975	1,301	1,389
0.974	248	1,637
0.970	300	1,937
0.968	100	2,037
0.966	444	2,481
0.965	50	2,531
0.963	73	2,604
0.961	700	3,304
0.960	1,000	4,304
0.957	371	4,675
0.953	185	4,860

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
reketor	Yes	1,801.98
ArthurLL	Yes	1,444.23
0x4a8b…48d0	Yes	812.81
Dimas99	Yes	693.38
dch.sh	Yes	621.28
0x2106bA2AD3136CB58B1688B9b6EE4Bf8C1c7Fa73-1772259511831	Yes	338.36
909990	Yes	329.38
skond	Yes	316.2
0x3674B8a432259161EFd27d0968916abf008a74E7-1780305869750	Yes	274.47
thecaricature	Yes	249.99
trustov	Yes	193.38
Andrei40	Yes	191.29
0xf60fD3f9dfE5f9Ff647895E0C59E230bB391b209-1775725507896	Yes	188.89
Olek098	Yes	125.46
0xDc7698751c939F718326c7f8D6f61fEfc0aD6EDa-1769900330060	Yes	100
MCGAAAAA	Yes	100
pjotrekkk	Yes	100
Drzephyrran	Yes	94.72
Mi1k	Yes	91.82
kocourek	Yes	91

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
23:08:21	SELL	No	0.976	17	$16.64
21:37:27	SELL	Yes	0.0162508	50	$0.81
21:37:24	SELL	Yes	0.017	50	$0.85
21:37:14	SELL	Yes	0.017	45	$0.76
21:28:17	SELL	Yes	0.022	5	$0.11
21:28:09	BUY	No	0.9773444444	450	$439.80
13:20:12	BUY	No	0.977	90	$87.93
13:07:29	SELL	No	0.967	50	$48.35
13:07:23	SELL	No	0.967	50	$48.35
13:07:17	SELL	No	0.967	50	$48.35
13:07:11	SELL	No	0.967	50	$48.35
13:07:06	SELL	No	0.968	50	$48.40
12:59:03	SELL	No	0.976	50	$48.80
12:58:54	SELL	No	0.976	50	$48.81
12:57:51	SELL	No	0.980472	500	$490.24
21:11:27	SELL	Yes	0.017	33	$0.57
00:35:13	SELL	No	0.967	15	$14.29
15:08:46	BUY	Yes	0.033303916	30	$1.00
12:34:49	BUY	No	0.9742945315	182	$177.27
19:36:25	SELL	No	0.969	21	$20.34
19:36:21	SELL	No	0.97	21	$20.36
19:36:15	BUY	Yes	0.0299999712	33	$1.00
19:33:04	BUY	Yes	0.0295546092	338	$10.00
16:01:04	SELL	No	0.969	51	$49.69
12:17:49	BUY	No	0.975	51	$50.00