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Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-10-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.010. down 0.003 over the period, from 0.013. Range 0.009 to 0.015. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.014297297
0.015200497
0.01795592
0.080110702
0.11953755
0.1205760
0.170100860
0.3815051,365
0.3824331,798
0.3882452,043
0.5138002,843
0.5953,6616,504

Spread0.008Mid0.010

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.006100100
0.005350450
0.004100550
0.0038001,350
0.0023,4674,817
0.00172,53677,353

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.994100100
0.995350450
0.996100550
0.9978001,350
0.9983,4674,817
0.99972,53677,353

Spread0.008Mid0.990

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.986297297
0.985200497
0.98395592
0.920110702
0.88153755
0.8805760
0.830100860
0.6195051,365
0.6184331,798
0.6122452,043
0.4878002,843
0.4053,6616,504

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
reketorYes1,801.98
ArthurLLYes1,444.23
0x7D700f0c18a91B1E6a1CEea0085907fC178e80d2-1776595596989Yes1,295.87
LiquidatedDegenYes986.5
0x4a8b…48d0Yes812.81
neutralwave23Yes587.74
0x2106bA2AD3136CB58B1688B9b6EE4Bf8C1c7Fa73-1772259511831Yes338.36
909990Yes329.38
skondYes316.2
canaffordYes300
pjotrekkkYes300
thecaricatureYes299.98
fiterYes295.12
0x3674B8a432259161EFd27d0968916abf008a74E7-1780305869750Yes274.47
crossFiterYes224
zzzfffYes200
trustovYes193.38
Andrei40Yes191.29
0xf60fD3f9dfE5f9Ff647895E0C59E230bB391b209-1775725507896Yes188.89
Olek098Yes125.46

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
13:07:44BUYNo0.9949999945123$122.00
12:39:02BUYNo0.9949841300$298.50
01:41:58SELLNo0.9891804048158$155.88
02:53:58SELLNo0.986162$159.38
16:01:10BUYNo0.99191$89.98
16:01:06BUYNo0.9925$24.69
11:33:48SELLNo0.9835$4.96
11:32:22BUYNo0.995$5.00
19:49:10SELLNo0.98261$59.46
17:47:51BUYNo0.990999999721$21.00
16:26:43BUYYes0.017999999956$1.00
12:02:03BUYNo0.9913060846161$160.00
16:48:25SELLNo0.984587544117$16.76
11:45:28BUYNo0.99099999582$81.00
08:00:33SELLYes0.008143$1.14
15:40:10SELLNo0.985543572232$228.45
07:09:46SELLNo0.98811$10.45
06:46:30BUYNo0.991212$210.08
23:25:27SELLYes0.01313$0.17
19:18:36BUYNo0.9832195122103$100.78
18:39:15SELLNo0.9524840881,889$1799.67
18:38:55SELLNo0.979415650479$77.10
16:47:12BUYNo0.9911,599$1584.61
16:46:55BUYNo0.99299$296.09
16:46:15BUYNo0.98933$32.36