0xf60fD3f9dfE5f9Ff647895E0C59E230bB391b209-1775725507896
0xf60fd3f9dfe5f9ff647895e0c59e230bb391b209
- Realised P&L
- $-125.49
- Volume
- $6.0k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $35.51
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration54.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.155 | $19.38 | +$9.38 |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.946 | $10.75 | +$0.75 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · No | 0.100 | 0.070 | $3.50 | −$1.50 |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.010 | $1.89 | −$15.11 |
| Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.00 |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026? · No | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 10:00 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 09:59 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 05-10 20:02 | Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $22.00 |
| 04-09 11:41 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999956 | $17.00 |
| 04-09 11:41 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026? | BUY | 0.025 | $15.00 |
| 04-09 11:40 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999296 | $10.00 |
| 04-09 11:39 | North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3400121389 | $32.00 |
| 04-09 09:21 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | BUY | 0.1 | $50.00 |