canafford
0x374a12f25974b3a5502e627dd9e9c7c557186fb8
- Realised P&L
- $-70.49
- Volume
- $72.1k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $30.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$347.70at 0.126Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?
- +$177.72at 0.250Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$49.40at 0.500Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by December 31?
- +$35.55at 0.210US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$24.07at 0.170US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-05 17:38 | Netanyahu out by June 30? | BUY | 0.023 | $10.12 |
| 06-01 20:35 | Trump out as President by June 30? | BUY | 0.011 | $11.00 |
| 05-26 19:34 | Trump out as President by May 31? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.00 |
| 03-10 18:04 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th? | BUY | 0.0793434211 | $6.03 |
| 03-10 13:45 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th? | BUY | 0.1 | $6.10 |
| 03-10 13:44 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | SELL | 0.06 | $6.00 |
| 03-10 13:31 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th? | BUY | 0.0992335 | $11.21 |
| 03-09 09:13 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.05 |
| 03-09 09:11 | US forces enter Iran by March 14? | BUY | 0.1690018232 | $3.38 |
| 03-09 09:10 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | BUY | 0.128 | $1.28 |
| 03-09 09:06 | Trump out as President by March 31? | BUY | 0.015 | $3.00 |
| 03-09 09:05 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.00 |
| 03-06 21:22 | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.018 | $2.75 |
| 03-06 20:24 | Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.092 | $1.49 |
| 03-06 17:53 | US forces enter Iran by March 14? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.80 |