PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

canafford

0x374a12f25974b3a5502e627dd9e9c7c557186fb8

Realised P&L
$-70.49
Volume
$72.1k
Markets traded
81
Open portfolio
$30.00

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded81
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President by August 31? · Yes0.0080.009$23.75+$3.75
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0100.013$6.25+$1.25
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.2770.000$0.00$19.40
Will Trump say "Card" during Zelensky events on August 18? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$1.84
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.14
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$21.00
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 8? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$2.07
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026? · No0.0500.000$0.00$5.00
Will Gavin Newsom be the first leader out in 2025? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$1.50
Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$10.12
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 27? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$21.00
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026? · No0.0080.000$0.00$5.60
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$20.26
Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$7.40
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026? · No0.0800.000$0.00$3.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-05 17:38Netanyahu out by June 30?BUY0.023$10.12
06-01 20:35Trump out as President by June 30?BUY0.011$11.00
05-26 19:34Trump out as President by May 31?BUY0.002$10.00
03-10 18:04Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?BUY0.0793434211$6.03
03-10 13:45Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?BUY0.1$6.10
03-10 13:44US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?SELL0.06$6.00
03-10 13:31Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?BUY0.0992335$11.21
03-09 09:13Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?BUY0.03$1.05
03-09 09:11US forces enter Iran by March 14?BUY0.1690018232$3.38
03-09 09:10Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?BUY0.128$1.28
03-09 09:06Trump out as President by March 31?BUY0.015$3.00
03-09 09:05US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY0.08$8.00
03-06 21:22Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?BUY0.018$2.75
03-06 20:24Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?SELL0.092$1.49
03-06 17:53US forces enter Iran by March 14?BUY0.14$2.80