PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

909990

0x0fac37da6f900eec8a2a6cc78523512cb203b5b4

Realised P&L
$-2.0k
Volume
$176.1k
Markets traded
481
Open portfolio
$733.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded481
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4100.455$233.00+$23.04
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1110.150$92.90+$24.26
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0690.035$58.02$55.40
Iran Nuke before 2027? · Yes0.0850.049$46.21$34.41
Natural Disaster in 2026? · Yes0.2500.240$41.85$1.77
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0610.041$40.50$20.50
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.105$28.14$6.70
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? · Yes0.0990.055$27.80$22.24
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0210.025$25.50+$3.64
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · No0.1730.065$19.50$32.50
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.3500.195$19.50$15.50
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0470.049$19.40+$0.60
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? · Yes0.0870.022$15.51$45.74
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0470.051$15.15+$1.05
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0680.035$12.49$12.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 02:30Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETBUY0.338509$101.55
07-26 19:19Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETBUY0.0921875$2.36
07-26 18:37Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETSELL0.4531624658$48.00
07-26 18:36Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETBUY0.15$15.89
07-26 18:31Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETBUY0.38$39.72
07-26 18:25Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETBUY0.32$30.42
07-26 18:15Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETBUY0.24$18.81
07-26 17:00Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETBUY0.33$34.60
07-26 16:35Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETBUY0.2742597029$5.72
07-26 16:32Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETBUY0.54$11.16
07-26 16:19Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12PM ETBUY0.4$30.00
07-26 16:18Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12PM ETBUY0.45$46.80
07-26 13:07Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETSELL0.6032843137$39.38
07-26 13:07Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETBUY0.31$97.65
07-26 13:02Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETBUY0.06$6.17