909990
0x0fac37da6f900eec8a2a6cc78523512cb203b5b4
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $180.2k
- Markets traded
- 493
- Open portfolio
- $359.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded493
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$631.71at 0.330Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5PM ET
- +$515.72at 0.357Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3AM ET
- +$480.00at 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?
- +$389.98at 0.443Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4AM ET
- +$387.19at 0.360Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 15:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.11 | $23.46 |
| 09-06 14:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $3.17 |
| 09-06 14:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.21 | $22.16 |
| 09-06 14:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.46 | $47.77 |
| 09-06 14:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.37 | $37.22 |
| 09-06 14:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $52.08 |
| 09-06 14:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.0971692279 | $10.37 |
| 09-06 14:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.03 | $3.21 |
| 09-06 14:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.14 | $14.88 |
| 09-06 07:55 | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $44.68 |
| 08-10 00:12 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $175.65 |
| 08-02 02:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET | BUY | 0.338509 | $101.55 |
| 07-26 19:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.0921875 | $2.36 |
| 07-26 18:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | SELL | 0.4531624658 | $48.00 |
| 07-26 18:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | BUY | 0.15 | $15.89 |