PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

909990

0x0fac37da6f900eec8a2a6cc78523512cb203b5b4

Realised P&L
$-2.8k
Volume
$180.2k
Markets traded
493
Open portfolio
$359.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded493
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran Nuke before 2027? · Yes0.0850.052$49.51$31.11
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0690.025$41.80$71.63
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0610.038$38.50$22.50
Natural Disaster in 2026? · Yes0.2500.205$35.75$7.87
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? · Yes0.0990.061$30.83$19.21
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0210.025$26.54+$4.68
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0470.064$25.40+$6.60
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.3500.235$23.50$11.50
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1110.026$16.41$52.23
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0470.054$16.35+$2.25
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0870.018$12.69$48.55
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · No0.1730.037$11.25$40.75
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0680.018$6.70$17.84
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0410.026$5.59$3.33
New pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0900.055$5.50$3.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 15:01Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETBUY0.11$23.46
09-06 14:58Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETBUY0.51$3.17
09-06 14:41Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETBUY0.21$22.16
09-06 14:39Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETBUY0.46$47.77
09-06 14:35Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETBUY0.37$37.22
09-06 14:33Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETBUY0.52$52.08
09-06 14:31Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETBUY0.0971692279$10.37
09-06 14:27Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETBUY0.03$3.21
09-06 14:27Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETBUY0.14$14.88
09-06 07:55Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?SELL0.21$44.68
08-10 00:12Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?SELL0.44$175.65
08-02 02:30Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETBUY0.338509$101.55
07-26 19:19Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETBUY0.0921875$2.36
07-26 18:37Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETSELL0.4531624658$48.00
07-26 18:36Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETBUY0.15$15.89