PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Andrei40

0x9248c97bf1d03db187f48269fe016f4440d67ea3

Realised P&L
$386.80
Volume
$11.4k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$579.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)35.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration92.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0300.114$534.95+$395.41
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8200.945$11.52+$1.52
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.6690.738$11.02+$1.02
5kt meteor strike in 2026? · No0.6800.735$10.81+$0.81
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? · Yes0.3500.260$7.43$2.57
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? · Yes0.0520.020$3.83$6.17
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$10.00
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$7.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-28 00:53Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?BUY0.3499999842$10.00
06-28 00:17Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.6689999827$10.00
06-24 13:39Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?BUY0.0522768494$10.00
04-01 11:27US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?BUY0.3599999938$30.00
03-20 08:30Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?BUY0.28$7.00
03-19 09:17Will Bitcoin hit $70,000 or $73,000 first?BUY0.001$1.00
03-19 09:10Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.8199999902$10.00
03-16 17:42No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?BUY0.0289999724$1.00
03-16 17:34Bitcoin Up or Down on March 16?BUY0.001$1.00
03-16 17:27Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.001$1.00
03-16 17:25Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.005$1.00
03-16 17:25Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.001$1.00
03-16 17:24Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.004$1.00
03-16 17:17US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?BUY0.6299999716$20.00
03-15 18:49Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.6599999842$10.00