skond
0x3bc4ee038c22c3283fc565ab8cdcac731877867d
- Realised P&L
- $-184.63
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $24.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.22at 0.599Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
- +$3.06at 0.050Will the match end in a draw or not be completed?
- +$2.76at 0.420Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$-2.37at 0.065Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?
- +$-4.32at 0.072Blast airdrop by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 11:44 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |
| 07-06 11:43 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.0316254362 | $10.00 |
| 07-06 11:41 | Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.5889999848 | $15.00 |
| 07-06 11:40 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.4099999959 | $30.00 |
| 01-13 18:16 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999971 | $23.50 |
| 01-13 18:15 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.759999997 | $50.00 |
| 01-13 18:14 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.5299999929 | $33.00 |
| 12-30 11:33 | Will the match end in a draw or not be completed? | SELL | 0.1012010017 | $6.06 |
| 12-29 23:38 | Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.53 |
| 12-29 19:06 | Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4199999454 | $2.00 |
| 12-29 19:05 | US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | BUY | 0.299999925 | $2.00 |
| 12-29 19:01 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3499999475 | $3.00 |
| 12-29 19:00 | Will the match end in a draw or not be completed? | BUY | 0.050081654 | $3.00 |
| 12-17 22:32 | Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.0652135934 | $2.90 |
| 12-17 22:31 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |