PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x4a8bd8a969d5d20f36d8c11a89c0a0b0ae0848d0

Realised P&L
$-370.53
Volume
$13.2k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$8.13

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? · Yes0.0610.010$8.13$41.83
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$50.00
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$50.00
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$50.00
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$50.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$78.70
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00$50.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-12 21:32Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13?BUY0.0119203662$59.63
06-12 21:32Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13?BUY0.0210618345$19.08
06-10 15:46Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.0488398644$50.00
06-10 15:44Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?BUY0.0242299245$50.00
06-10 15:44Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?BUY0.1499999976$50.00
06-10 15:15No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.0217852925$50.00
06-10 15:12Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?BUY0.0614668865$49.96
06-10 15:10US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?BUY0.0699999987$50.00