0x4a8bd8a969d5d20f36d8c11a89c0a0b0ae0848d0
- Realised P&L
- $-370.53
- Volume
- $13.2k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $8.13
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.010 | $8.13 | −$41.83 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$78.70 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 21:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? | BUY | 0.0119203662 | $59.63 |
| 06-12 21:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? | BUY | 0.0210618345 | $19.08 |
| 06-10 15:46 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.0488398644 | $50.00 |
| 06-10 15:44 | Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY | 0.0242299245 | $50.00 |
| 06-10 15:44 | Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY | 0.1499999976 | $50.00 |
| 06-10 15:15 | No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0217852925 | $50.00 |
| 06-10 15:12 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.0614668865 | $49.96 |
| 06-10 15:10 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | BUY | 0.0699999987 | $50.00 |