Olek098
0xafcf03a650e293abb0facbc41aa62a12db179964
- Realised P&L
- $-73.95
- Volume
- $12.2k
- Markets traded
- 202
- Open portfolio
- $53.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded202
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.52at 0.420Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
- +$34.00at 0.370Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
- +$33.63at 0.510Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
- +$32.31at 0.520Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
- +$30.67at 0.140Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 23:41 | JD Vance out as VP by December 31? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 08-01 23:38 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.01 | $3.00 |
| 07-26 03:00 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? | BUY | 0.0393196658 | $3.00 |
| 07-26 02:59 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? | BUY | 0.0204853964 | $2.00 |
| 07-26 02:59 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? | BUY | 0.0123771803 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 02:56 | Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 23:16 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.0279999946 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 02:04 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.1399999627 | $3.00 |
| 07-14 22:46 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5399999881 | $20.00 |
| 07-13 21:52 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? | BUY | 0.0778260588 | $3.00 |
| 07-13 21:45 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5975 | $10.00 |
| 07-13 21:43 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5974999636 | $5.00 |
| 07-12 19:23 | England vs. Argentina: England O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 07-12 03:50 | Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | SELL | 0.9975 | $18.46 |
| 07-12 00:46 | Will US withdraw from NATO by August 31? | BUY | 0.0194898324 | $3.00 |