PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Olek098

0xafcf03a650e293abb0facbc41aa62a12db179964

Realised P&L
$-73.95
Volume
$12.2k
Markets traded
202
Open portfolio
$53.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded202
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration4.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.1100.065$5.91$4.09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.0350.019$5.04$3.96
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1000.065$4.55$2.45
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? · Yes0.0110.015$4.10+$1.10
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.0610.077$3.79+$0.79
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes0.0790.054$3.45$1.55
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? · Yes0.1100.075$3.41$1.59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.1400.135$2.89$0.11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1000.055$2.75$2.25
JD Vance out as VP by December 31? · Yes0.0600.055$2.75$0.25
Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0980.025$2.56$7.44
Trump out as President by August 31? · Yes0.0100.009$2.55$0.45
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? · Yes0.0400.020$2.51$2.49
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? · Yes0.0390.029$2.17$0.83
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? · Yes0.0200.015$1.46$0.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 23:41JD Vance out as VP by December 31?BUY0.06$3.00
08-01 23:38Trump out as President by August 31?BUY0.01$3.00
07-26 03:00Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?BUY0.0393196658$3.00
07-26 02:59Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?BUY0.0204853964$2.00
07-26 02:59Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?BUY0.0123771803$1.00
07-26 02:56Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
07-23 23:16Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.0279999946$5.00
07-20 02:04Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.1399999627$3.00
07-14 22:46England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5399999881$20.00
07-13 21:52Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?BUY0.0778260588$3.00
07-13 21:45France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5975$10.00
07-13 21:43France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5974999636$5.00
07-12 19:23England vs. Argentina: England O/U 2.5BUY0.13$1.30
07-12 03:50Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?SELL0.9975$18.46
07-12 00:46Will US withdraw from NATO by August 31?BUY0.0194898324$3.00