0x3674B8a432259161EFd27d0968916abf008a74E7-1780305869750
0x3674b8a432259161efd27d0968916abf008a74e7
- Realised P&L
- $-34.66
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $17.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.165 | 0.165 | $10.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.055 | $2.50 | −$2.50 |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.009 | $2.33 | −$7.67 |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.003 | $1.22 | −$2.65 |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.007 | $1.00 | −$7.00 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.001 | $0.15 | −$4.85 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-5.19at 0.062Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto", or "Cryptocurrency" during remarks in Las Vegas?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 05:57 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0163862687 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 05:52 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto", or "Cryptocurrency" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 05:32 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 05:26 | Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999931 | $8.00 |
| 07-10 17:08 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 17:06 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.164848473 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 16:53 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.0364333655 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 16:51 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0079438185 | $3.87 |