0x3674B8a432259161EFd27d0968916abf008a74E7-1780305869750
0x3674b8a432259161efd27d0968916abf008a74e7
- Realised P&L
- $-4.89
- Volume
- $867.76
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $23.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration51.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.165 | 0.205 | $12.44 | +$2.44 |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.020 | $5.49 | −$4.51 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.085 | $3.86 | −$1.14 |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.004 | $2.19 | −$1.68 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 17:08 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 17:06 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.164848473 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 16:53 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.0364333655 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 16:51 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0079438185 | $3.87 |