PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3674B8a432259161EFd27d0968916abf008a74E7-1780305869750

0x3674b8a432259161efd27d0968916abf008a74e7

Realised P&L
$-34.66
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$17.21

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1650.165$10.01+$0.01
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.055$2.50$2.50
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? · Yes0.0360.009$2.33$7.67
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0080.003$1.22$2.65
Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0600.007$1.00$7.00
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0160.001$0.15$4.85
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 05:57Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.0163862687$5.00
08-04 05:52Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto", or "Cryptocurrency" during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.059999989$5.00
08-04 05:32Iran full airspace closure by August 15?BUY0.149999976$5.00
08-04 05:26Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0599999931$8.00
07-10 17:08Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
07-10 17:06Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.164848473$10.00
07-10 16:53Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?BUY0.0364333655$10.00
07-10 16:51Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.0079438185$3.87