PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2106bA2AD3136CB58B1688B9b6EE4Bf8C1c7Fa73-1772259511831

0x2106ba2ad3136cb58b1688b9b6ee4bf8c1c7fa73

Realised P&L
$-2.1k
Volume
$433.0k
Markets traded
338
Open portfolio
$687.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded338
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3230.085$434.71$1.2k
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2800.115$132.87$191.13
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1300.065$50.00$50.00
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.2900.050$34.13$165.87
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.1730.065$30.85$51.15
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? · Yes0.0290.009$2.88$7.12
Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0020.001$2.50$7.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 14:06Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETBUY0.2746006887$95.38
07-30 14:01Solana Up or Down on July 30?BUY0.1327561278$20.00
07-30 14:01Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30?BUY0.032$10.00
07-27 19:40Netanyahu out by July 31?BUY0.004$5.00
07-27 19:39Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?BUY0.0260000002$5.00
07-27 19:39Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?BUY0.007$5.00
07-27 19:38Will Libertad Loja win on 2026-07-27?BUY0.1499999887$10.00
07-27 19:38Seattle Mariners vs. Texas RangersBUY0.059999989$5.00
07-27 19:37Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.002$5.00
07-27 19:37Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.0081908882$5.00
07-27 19:33Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?BUY0.0295546092$10.00
07-27 19:30Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.21$116.67
06-29 18:36Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0579999973$19.00
06-29 18:34Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.1099999982$50.00
06-29 18:33Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.2$72.29