PolyBot

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Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2027-01-01
Resolves by
https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375
Rewards
50 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.07. down 0.01 over the period, from 0.07. Range 0.04 to 0.07. 149 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.07204204
0.08268472
0.091,8282,300
0.21502,350
0.31152,365
0.3682,373
0.395,1797,552
0.409938,544
0.504108,954
0.5468,961
0.552,88711,848
0.5948312,331

Spread0.01Mid0.07

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.06162162
0.05346507
0.041,5372,044
0.034,4376,481
0.0216,43222,913
0.0125,01747,931

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.94162162
0.95346507
0.961,5372,044
0.974,4376,481
0.9816,43222,913
0.9925,01747,931

Spread0.01Mid0.94

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.93204204
0.92268472
0.911,8282,300
0.79502,350
0.69152,365
0.6482,373
0.615,1797,552
0.609938,544
0.504108,954
0.4668,961
0.452,88711,848
0.4148312,331

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
DumplingBMFYes24,848.79
AMAM13Yes15,358.68
Bromley86Yes6,728.94
abdoohlYes5,054.44
NadmiYes3,874.99
sneedly9Yes3,277.53
TheManInTheSkyYes2,114.9
PeryperyYes1,912.96
HerrieDavisYes1,835.9
0x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-1792437064758Yes1,492.17
alpha.foundYes1,339.87
MoneyCraftYes1,285.79
KutobaYes1,152.86
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Yes1,100
ChiaYes929.75
5.6solYes883
0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA9604Yes829.13
0x15af…9e32Yes806.36
VoltogerYes609.35
Torin81Yes600

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:41:25BUYNo0.93131$121.98
21:11:46SELLNo0.93105$98.06
21:09:46SELLNo0.94105$99.11
21:09:45SELLNo0.94928272111,470$1395.45
19:05:55SELLNo0.95100$95.00
21:49:04SELLYes0.0558$2.88
05:56:09SELLNo0.942$2.11
01:15:16SELLNo0.9460$56.40
01:13:42SELLNo0.9450$47.00
01:12:12SELLNo0.9460$56.40
01:12:12SELLNo0.9450$47.00
01:10:42SELLNo0.94200$188.00
01:10:27SELLNo0.9450$47.00
01:10:21SELLNo0.9436$34.26
01:10:19SELLNo0.94223384551,052$991.69
23:09:39BUYYes0.05346$17.32
15:13:11SELLYes0.0425$1.00
15:12:38BUYNo0.9545$42.89
15:11:45BUYNo0.9579$74.99
15:10:54BUYNo0.9579$74.99
15:10:05BUYNo0.9526$24.99
10:27:02BUYNo0.9526$24.99
04:06:00SELLNo0.947$6.71
23:09:36BUYYes0.0641$2.46
21:06:17SELLYes0.06300$17.99