PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Kutoba

0x40b56efcf16fd4776b7728fe6c4be7d127826b5f

Realised P&L
$-3.1k
Volume
$175.7k
Markets traded
290
Open portfolio
$2.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded290
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration58.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.7460.765$1.3k+$31.89
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.2600.235$235.00$25.00
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0180.018$221.01+$11.01
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5640.085$97.99$552.01
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.3690.298$89.55$21.05
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1280.097$75.39$24.61
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7150.480$67.18$32.82
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1610.028$64.28$305.72
Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1450.120$41.67$8.33
Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.2480.283$38.68+$4.87
Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1510.098$32.27$17.73
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0260.030$29.33+$4.33
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.3760.190$25.20$24.80
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2350.055$23.38$76.62
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0250.026$21.20+$1.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 06:08Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.26$260.00
09-19 06:07Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.75$750.00
09-19 06:04Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.3685405405$81.82
09-19 06:04Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.2478199941$33.81
09-19 05:55Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.7399999996$500.00
09-19 05:55Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.016$180.00
09-10 21:44Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?BUY0.0594129995$40.00
08-08 23:50Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7145337963$100.00
08-08 23:50Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.2352941176$100.00
08-02 17:50Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.1446041557$50.00
08-02 17:49Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.1510901575$50.00
08-02 17:30Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.025$20.00
08-02 17:24Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.025999999$25.00
08-02 17:24Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.128$100.00
08-02 17:20Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.004$10.00